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4-6; -4.56pts Round 1 play (2pts): Jim Furyk to beat Padraig Harrington +100 @ Carib LOST by 2
Pod may be in great form - much better than he usually is at this time of the year - but Furyk has finished 15th and 8th in the last two Playoff events, so he is hardly short of confidence either. And then there is the course form: Harrington made his debut at Cog Hill last year and finished 55th of 79; Furyk's last 10 finishes in this event are 6th, 7th, 34th, 3rd, 3rd, 7th, 1st, 4th, 14th, 3rd (staged at Bellerive). With that history, there is a lot of value in a player at plus odds. Round 2 plays (2pts): Jonathan Byrd to beat Mark Wilson +100 @ Five Dimes LOST by 13 Zach Johnson to beat Scott Verplank +101 @ Pinnacle WON by 10 Retief Goosen to beat Phil Mickelson +125 @ Five Dimes LOST by 3 Round 3 plays (1pt): Luke Donald to beat Anthony Kim -105 @ Bet365 WON by 4 Steve Marino to beat Camilo Villegas +100 @ Five Dimes WON by 3 Bo Van Pelt to beat Marc Leishman +100 @ SkyBet [available widely] LOST by 4 Round 4 plays (1pt): Dustin Johnson to beat Brian Davis -110 @ Boyle Sports [tie loses] [available generally] WON by 2 Steve Stricker to beat Phil Mickelson -140 @ Five Dimes [also available @ Stan James] LOST by 1 Dustin Johnson to beat Camilo Villegas -118 @ Pinnacle [also available @ The Greek, Carib and WSEX] LOST by 7
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NOTES
Plays will typically be 1pt and cover only '2-ball'
matches rather than '3-balls' matches. Note that '1pt' represents 'to win
1pt' if the player is odds-on (negative in moneyline terms or less than 2.0 in decimal odds) and represents
'1pt staked' if the player is odds-against (positive in moneyline terms or at least 2.0 in decimal odds). If ties lose, this will be indicated.
Reasons will be given for round 1 plays, but thereafter the plays will be listed only - there is less time for handicapping between rounds, plus if I detail too many intra-round angles during the course of the season, the odds will surely be adjusted in future if the angles are profitable.
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