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5-11; -9.17pts Round 1 plays (1pt): Justin Leonard to beat Davis Love -133 @ Unibet LOST by 2
With 15 appearances in this event and just one missed cut, Leonard is not a player to oppose in this event (or in Texas generally). Quite a contrast with Love who hadn't returned since finishing 50th in 2002. Brad Adamonis to beat Brendon Todd -125 @ Five Dimes WON by 4
Easy to oppose a player ranked 172nd in Scoring Average on the Tour and making his course debut. 178th in Total Driving, 131st in Greens in Regulation, 171st in Scrambling ,174th in Putting Average; there isn't a part of Todd's game that isn't at the bottom of the PGA Tour Skill Stats rankings. Eric Axley to beat David Mathis -130 @ Five Dimes LOST by 8
Two players struggling for form, but Mathis is making his course debut and Axley was the 1st round leader last year. Kevin Sutherland to beat Daniel Chopra -130 @ Five Dimes WON by 2
Two players in better form, but Sutherland still dominates. He has a 10-2-1 h2h lead over Chopra in the 1st round over the last 12 months and while Chopra has played in this event in each of the last five years, he has finished behind Sutherland on every occasion. Adam Scott to beat Fred Couples -137 @ Unibet LOST by 2
It says a lot for Scott's loss of form that despite finishing 3rd and 1st in his two previous appearances here, he is paired with Couples who has played here only once since 2001 and missed the cut on that occasion. Yet, for all his loss of form, Scott has still to finish behind Couples in any event this year. So, with Scott stating that his game was 'close' at the Players Championship (when he beat Couples by six shots over two rounds), this appears to be a strong mismatch. Round 2 plays (1pt): Jonathan Byrd to beat Mike Weir +120 @ SkyBet [tie loses] WON by 1 Jonathan Byrd to beat Dustin Johnson -120 @ Carib LOST by 5 David Toms to beat Dustin Johnson -141 @ Unibet LOST by 3 Kevin Sutherland to beat Dustin Johnson -120 @ Bet365 [also available @ Five Dimes] LOST by 8 Ian Poulter to beat Charley Hoffman -133 @ Bet365 LOST by 5 Round 3 plays (1pt): Rory Sabbatini to beat John Mallinger -116 @ Pinnacle [also available @ Unibet and The Greek] TIED Ken Duke to beat John Mallinger +105 @ Carib [also available @ Paddy Power] LOST by 6 Round 4 plays (1pt): Robert Allenby to beat Jesper Parnevik -138 @ BlueSq [tie loses] [available generally] TIED Robert Allenby to beat Charlie Wi -140 @ Five Dimes LOST by 5 Ken Duke to beat Danny Lee -135 @ Five Dimes LOST by 2 Justin Leonard to beat Charley Hoffman -110 @ Carib [also available @ Bet365] WON by 3 Rory Sabbatini to beat Dustin Johnson -125 @ Paddy Power WON by 2
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