Byron Nelson Championship	Subscribe

Bets: 7     Wins: 2     Losses: 3     Profit/Loss = - 3.42 pts

Stake 3pts Baird to beat Imada -110 @ Stan James Win
Not much separates these two in terms of overall ability. But Baird's ball striking has been noticably superior to Imada's lately and he has the better course form. In addition at last years event, after the course modifications, Imada missed the cut and Baird finished in 13th. Indeed Imada's form in Texas is generally quite poor. Baird currently leads Imada 7-2 in events in this state. 

Stake 3pts Laird to beat Calcavecchia -105 @ FiveDimes Win
Analysing both players form highlights an abundance of mc's between the two. In terms of course form Laird has made one previous appearance and finished 63rd, while Calc has 6 missed cuts from 8 previous starts here. As for current form, Laird has been in pretty miserable form all season long but there have been encouraging signs of late making two out of three cuts, and the mdf at the Players was hardly unexpected. Calc's ofrm looks t have dipped lately after a tremendous run a couple of months ago. I make Laird favourite here. 

Stake 2.5pts Marino to beat Davis -110 @ Bet365 Lose
Stake 2.5pts Marino to beat McNeill -120 William Hill Tie
Both Davis and Marino have a lot going for them this week but Marino is by a clear margin the better and more consistent player. After a slow start to the season Marino has been in good form of late, he's performed reasonably well here in the past and has a very good record in this state. Davis is much improved this season and of course his last two performances were highlights of this good run. Despite finishing 8th here back in 2006 he subsequently missed the cut in his following two appearances. Marino should be around -125 by my reckoning as Davis's good run continuing is less assured than another solid display by Marino. 
McNeill's form his picked up of late after his slow start to the season but he still trails Marino 5-2 in h2h's over the past three months. He has little course form to speak of and there is little to suggest that he will have a say at the business end of this tournament. I have Marino at -130 here. 

Stake 3pts Goggin to beat D Johnson -110 @ Boyle Sports Lose
Goggin has in general been a consistent performer this season and his stats, aside from his poor short game, show his game to be in good shape. He has two decent performances here and three missed cuts. But his game should be suited to the challenges posed by this course. Johnson is very long, which I'm not sure will be of an asset this week and his recent form is inconsistent. He finished back in 63rd here last season and I don't envisage the windy conditions being condusive to his type of game.  

Stake 2pts Verplank to beat Kim -110 @ Expekt, Ladbrokes Tie
I guess Kim has to rediscover his form sometime but while he is still being over-estimated we might as well try and take advantage. The worrying aspect of his game is his ball-striking which has been very poor over the past few months. Although his form here in the past is decent enough the current state of his game puts significant question marks over his chances irrespective of how much conditions favour him. Verplank looks to be a reasonably safe choice to oppose him with. He has decent current form, his stats show his game to be strong at the moment and he obviously has an affinity to this course and in particular to this event.

Stake 2pts Van Pelt to beat Klauk -110 @ BlueSq Lose
Klauk has been written about in certain places as being a decent long-shot to win this event and that chance is evident from his current form and the state of his game. But Van Pelt still has to be considered the better player, his current form is good and for once he is showing some decent consistency. His previous form here and in Texas is very encouraging and from 20 previous starts in Texas he is achieving a top-20 finish on almost 50% of his starts.