3-2; +0.91pts 

Round 1 plays (1pt):

Briny Baird to beat John Rollins -114 @ Pinnacle [also available @ WSEX]  LOST by 3
Backing Baird in the 1st round again? What a surprise! These two have played in 21 common events over the past 12 months and Rollins has shot the lower 1st round score just three times. I can't see him doing so this week when making his course debut.

J.J. Henry to beat J.B. Holmes +105 @ SkyBet [tie loses]  WON by 1
Carl Pettersson to beat J.B. Holmes -110 @ Carib  TIED
Matt Kuchar to beat J.B. Holmes -110 @ William Hill  WON by 1
In contrast to Baird, it has been six months since Holmes broke 70 in the first round. Making his debut in this event and on a par-70 course, I can only see him struggling this week. Henry has finished in the top-30 in each of the two years that this course has staged this event and has been beaten by Holmes just four times in the 1st round over the past year; Pettersson is another with top-30 finishes in the last two years here and has a good record at other Nicklaus-designed courses; while Kuchar is another with two decent finishes on this course and hasn't been beaten by Holmes in the 1st round for seven months.

Charlie Wi to beat Scott Piercy -110 @ Five Dimes  WON by 5
Piercy certainly caught the eye on the West Coast Swing, but it is a very different type of course in Florida where he has just one previous Tour appearance: a missed cut in a Nationwide Tour event last year. Wi has made the cut on this course both times and even held the lead after the 1st and 2nd rounds in 2007; he generally has a pretty good record in Florida.

Round 2 play (1pt):

Justin Leonard to beat Stewart Cink +110 @ Carib  LOST by 2

Taking a weekend holiday, so no further plays this week.