Bets: 12     Wins: 4     Losses: 7     Profit/Loss = - 10.67 pts

Stake 3pts Cink to beat Rose +100 @ Bet365 Lose
Neither player has had a very auspicious start to the season. Cink's putting has been his main weakness this season while Rose's iron play has been his downfall. But Cink's form looks to be picking up quite nicely in time for his trip to Augusta where he has a superb record. From 11 starts he has missed the cut twice and all his other finish have been in the top thirty. Rose's record here is also good, in particular his opening round performances, but no match for Cink. 

Stake 3pts Donald to beat Stricker -110 @ Expekt, Ladbrokes Lose
Donald has been his usual consistent self this season since returning from injury. His stats have looked solid and his previous form here is pretty solid too with a couple of top ten finishes from four starts. Stricker has also had a good start to the season But his record here is very patchy. He does have a couple of decent finishes but he didn't compete here between 2003 and 2006 and in his two subsequent starts he has missed the cut to give five missed cuts from eight starts. There's not a lot to separate these two on overall form but the far superior course form and his overall consistency makes Donald a -125 favourite by my reckoning.  

Stake 5pts Leonard to beat Fisher -123 @ Unibet Lose
Although Fisher performed with great credit at the World Matchplay it's hard to ignore that his record on the PGA tour reads mc/mc/mc/d and he's making his debut here. Meanwhile Leonard seems to be playing his best golf for a good number of years and although he's never been involved at the business end of this tournament his record here is very solid with only one missed cut from twelve appearances. 

Stake 3pts Flesch to beat Kaymer +120 @ Unibet Win
We opposed Kaymer last week and the play won but admittedly his performance did show some promise that he might be able to perform with credit on this tour. However I still don't think that promise justifies the short price he is here. Although Flesch has had a poor start to the season he did finish 7th in the Transitions and he has previously declared a liking for this course, not surprising with form figures here of 17/29/5 in his last three starts. Kaymer played here last year and missed the cut. 

Stake 2pts Katayama to beat Marksaeng +120 @ Unibet Win
Katayama has had a reasonable start to the year and he has a solid record here with only two missed cuts from seven appearances. Despite Marksaeng's excellent start to the season his only previous appearances here resulted in a withdrawl after an opening 82 and with Katayama holding a 10-7 lead in h2h's over the last 12 months he really shouldn't be this price.

Further Plays

Stake 3pts Ames to beat Sabbatini +105 @ FiveDimes, WSEX Tie
Ames hasn't been in the best of form of late but he has shown glimpses of form. But will be suited to Augusta as he has a good long iron game and is a decent putter. And that's backed up with a decent previous record here of 45/11/24/25. After a promising start to the season Sabbatini's form has dipped of late and coupled with an inconsistent record at Augusta cannot be one to rely on this week. Over the last 12 months Ames leads the h2h's 12-5 and 3-1 in h2h's here. I don't rate him as the outsider this week.  

Stake 3pts C Campbell to beat Baddeley -110 @ Boyle Sports Win
After a poor start to the season and with previous Augusta form of mc/mc/52/mc there's not a lot to get excited about Baddeley's chances this week. He is a good putter but his iron game shouldn't be good enough for the challenges of Augusta. Although not in great form Campbell has been very consistent of late and does have a couple of good finishes here in the past. But just making the cut might be good enough to win this one.   

Stake 3pts Cink to beat Scott -110 @ Boyle Sports Lose
Scott is a good enough player for his form to return at any moment. But even factoring in that risk Cink has to be the value here due to his consistency and overall class. Even if Scott were to return to form he would still be hard pushed to beat Cink who has won the last five h2h's here. 

Stake 3pts Furyk to beat Els +120 @ Carib, WSEX, The Greek, Pinnacle Win
Els used to have a great record here but he has disappointed on his last four visits to Augusta. And although he has shown admirable consistency of late I would still have reservations about his overall game, and in particular his putting, on a course this challenging. Furyk hasn't played a lot this season and disappointed on his last two starts but he clearly retains the ability to doubt that he will return to form very soon. He has an naverage record at Augusta considering his class. And +120 seems very generous for a player of his class who leads Els 7-3 in h2h's over the past 12 months and has won the last five h2h's here at Augusta. 

Stake 3pts Goosen to beat Garcia -110 @ FiveDimes Lose
There still remains question marks regarding Goosen's game, in particular his lack of consistency. But he does retain a lot of ability as his recent victory at the Transitions has shown. And there is no doubting his consistency at Augusta where he has finishes in the top twenty in his last seven appearances. As for Garcia, his recent form isn't great, his record here is poor and his putting remains a major concern. Goosen leads 6-2 in h2h's at Augusta.

Further Plays

Stake 3pts Karlsson to beat Villegas -111 @ Expekt Lose
Prospects look good for Karlsson this week. He has a good long game and a strong putter, has shown excellent consistency over the past couple of years and has played well here on his two previous visits. Villegas has shown a lack of consistency, can be a suspect putter and missed the cut on his two previous starts. Karlsson also leads 9-4 in h2h's on this tour.  

Stake 3pts Perez to beat McDowell -105 @ Unibet Lose
After his superb performance at the Rydar Cup McDowell's form this season has been a bit of a disappointment. Meanwhile Perez has shown quite a marked improvement in both form and consistency this season. Although his only previous visit here resulted in 45th place finish back in 2003, McDowell's only visit here ended up in a missed cut. Given his improvement in form and his far better record on this tour (17-5 over all time) Perez doesn't warrant the underdog tag here.