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10-6; +2.19pts Round 1 plays (1pt): Steve Flesch to beat Todd Hamilton -115 @ Five Dimes WON by 9
Hamilton has had a couple of good events in the past month, but with just one sub-par round in the last four years at Quail Hollow, it appears unlikely that this will be another good event for him. Flesch does miss a lot of cuts (as well as recording two top-10 finishes in his last four starts), but he has made the cut in each of the last five years here, so should be the favourite in this matchup. Camilo Villegas to beat Chad Campbell -138 @ William Hill WON by 1
Campbell missed the cut here in 2006 and 2007 and then skipped this event last year. He may have finished 2nd in The Masters, but this is a very different event and with the rough shorter than last year, it should suit Villegas even more. K.J. Choi to beat J.B. Holmes -150 @ Paddy Power TIED
With evidence of Choi's game turning around last week (he finished 24th, but was also 14th in greens in regulation), I'll certainly back him against a player like Holmes. Even with his recent slump in form, he had only finished behind Holmes once this year ... over the last 10 months, Holmes has finished ahead of Choi in only two tournaments. Round 2 plays (1pt): Kevin Streelman to beat Nicholas Thompson -118 @ Pinnacle [also available @ The Greek and Carib] LOST by 4 Geoff Ogilvy to beat Hunter Mahan -125 @ Bet365 LOST by 1 Sergio Garcia to beat Retief Goosen +110 @ SkyBet [tie loses] LOST by 10 Rich Beem to beat Nicholas Thompson -125 @ Five Dimes WON by 3 Sean O'Hair to beat Robert Karlsson -130 @ Carib [also available @ Bet365] LOST by 3 Round 3 plays (1pt): Phil Mickelson to beat Camilo Villegas -118 @ CentreBet [tie loses] [available generally] LOST by 1 Jim Furyk to beat Hunter Mahan -140 @ Five Dimes WON by 2 Jim Furyk to beat Camilo Villegas +100 @ Stan James [tie loses] [also available @ SkyBet] WON by 1 Bill Haas to beat Charles Warren -125 @ Paddy Power [available generally] TIED Phil Mickelson to beat Anthony Kim -118 @ Pinnacle [also available @ The Greek] WON by 3 Round 4 plays (1pt): Jeff Klauk to beat Danny Lee -111 @ Unibet WON by 1 Bill Haas to beat Danny Lee -130 @ Five Dimes WON by 4 Tiger Woods to beat Phil Mickelson -190 @ Five Dimes LOST by 5 Jason Dufner to beat Danny Lee -115 @ Pinnacle [also available @ The Greek, Carib and WSEX] WON by 5 Tim Petrovic to beat Rocco Mediate -130 @ Five Dimes WON by 1
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