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Tournament Match Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Neil

Odds:Matchups

 
 
Quail Hollow Championship

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Bets: 4     Wins: 2     Losses: 2     Profit/Loss = - 1.07 pts

Stake 3pts Allenby to beat Appleby -110 @ InterTops Win
Allenby has won seven out of the last nine h2h's with Appleby. Appleby's triumph coming in the Masters where he already held a 7-2 lead. Allenby messed up his run of cuts made by missing the cut last time out at Harbour Town, a course where he has a poor record. He was 4th here last year and his game remains in good shape. Appleby's form has stepped up a notch recently but he has a poor record here and Allenby should be around -125 this week. 

Stake 3pts Garcia to beat Harrington +110 @ Skybet Lose
Over the last 3 years Garcia leads Harrington 13-10 in h2h's on the tour. Take away the majors and that lead extends to an impressive 11-3. Doubts have been raised about Garcia's form but if we go looking for some positives, he started the season well, his performance at the Houston Open was fine until the weekend and then he had his third best finish at the Masters from 11 starts. He also has some decent previous form here, much better than Harrington's previous visits and I make Garcia at most a -115 shot here.  

Stake 3pts Mahan to beat Goosen -110 @ Ladbrokes, Boyle Sports Lose
Take that recent win away from Goosen and his recent form is looking decidedly dodgy. And his missed cut at the Masters was particulalry disappointing given his previous record there. He played well here on his debut (would have finished 3rd if not for a 9 on the last) but did not challenge last time out back in 2007. Mahan has been supremely consistent, has a good all-round game, eventually got the hang of this course finishing 12th here last year and has won eight of the last nine h2h's with Goosen. 

Stake 2pts Watney to beat Sabbatini +110 @ Coral Win
Sabbatini does look to be hitting form again but Watney's price is just too big for a player of his ability. Watney has been a model of consistency for a while now and his missed cut last week shouldn't detract from that too much. He has a good solid all-round game and has three decent finishes from four previous starts here. Sabbatini looks like he is regaining some of his old form with three decent finishes in a row. But I still have question marks regarding his consistency and his previous form here is one excellent finish and five poor ones. I can't split them on price.