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Spread Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Andy

Odds:Spreads

 
 
Sony Open in Hawaii
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Sell Rory Sabbatini over Chez Reavie 18H R1 MB at 5 with Sporting Index  for 0.5 Pts M/U 16, Loss 5.5 Pts
Sabbatini is popular this week due to 2 second places in the last 3 years but his record here, where he has played regularly, is very poor outwith those two places. Reavie finished well last week at the Mercedes, shooting 68/67 on the weekend to finish 12th.

Sell Tim Herron over Tag Ridings 18H R1 MB at 3 with Sporting Index  for 0.5 Pts M/U 19, Loss 8 Pts
Herron also plays here regularly but apart from two finishes just inside the top 20 his record is poor and overall averages 40th place on this track. Ridings is poorer having missed 3 of 4 cuts but given their scoring records 3 seems a touch too high and is worth selling.

Buy Kenny Perry FP at 38 with Spreadex for 0.5 Pts M/U 61.5, Profit 11.75 Pts
Course form shows Perry missing 3 cuts and finishing 54th and 50th in his last 5 starts so it is surprising that he continues to show up. Last week's efforts on the tour's hilliest course may not have helped although he did play well.

Buy Tim Clark FP at 39 with Spreadex for 0.5 Pts M/U 17, Loss 11 Pts
Clark visits Hawaii for the first time and noticably it is the earliest he has started on this tour having waited til as long as February on occasions. He also rarely plays well first time out on this tour, his last 6 finishes being cut, 63, 62, 2, cut, cut. That 2nd came after playing the week previous in South Africa.

R2 

Buy Adam Scott at 41 with IG Sport for 0.5 Pts. M/U 2.5, Loss 17.75 Pts
Scott currently sits tied 51st with 27 others and with a tight leaderboard with 100 players within 4 shots of those in 24th place a lot could depend today on the conditions. The wind gusts got stronger as the day went on yesterday and today shows another gusty day all day, so the supposed advantage of getting out early may not apply. I would pitch Scott somewhere around 45.

1-4-0 -30.5Pts