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Tournament Match Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Neil

Odds:Matchups

 
 
St Jude Classic
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Bets: 7     Wins: 3     Losses: 2     Profit/Loss = + 1.49 pts

Stake 3pts Allenby to beat Ames -105 @ The Greek Win
Allenby has dipped slightly of late but he has put in enough solid rounds and showed at The Players that he is still capable of scoring well. His stats are still strong and with four top twenty finishes from six previous starts here he is expected to show up well again this week. In the last coupleof events Ames has performed well but he has been terribly inconsistent this season and I just don't think his shot recoevry and scrambling game is strong enough for the challenge this week. He does have a couple of decent finishes here in the past but he trails 9-3 in h2h's over the last 12 months and against a player who obviously enjoys the course he should be bigger here. I make Allenby a -125 shot. 

Stake 2.5pts Weekley to beat Crane -115 @ BoyleSports Lose
Stake 2.5pts Verplank to beat Crane -125 @ Carib, Sportingbet Lose
Weekley's form has picked up nicely after a slow start and would have contended again at The Players if he hadn't had to withdraw from a shoulder injury. He has been hitting the ball superbly of late and his fourth place finish in last years event adds further encouragement.
Even at these odds Verplank looks like value here. He still retains that superb consistency, although his level of form has dipped in recent years. But his record here of eigth place finishes in his last two visits inspires respect.
Crane's form has deteriorated of late although a fifth place finish at The Players did offer some confidence that he can produce a good finish. But his ball striking hasn't really been up to scratch of late and although he did finish sixth here back in 2003 he has two subsequent average finishes and not competed here on the last three occasions.

Stake 3pts Warren to beat De Jonge -105 @ FiveDimes Tie
Warren has shown the better form this season to date and leads De Jonge both in GIR and DA this season which should be favoured this week. Neither have any decent course form to go with. But basically Warren leads 20-4 in h2h's over the last 3 years and I can't see a justifiable reason for making De Jonge favourite here this week.

Stake 4pts Villegas to beat Goosen -115 @ The Greek Tie
Villegas slightly disappointed last week but still put in a creditable finish. He has been very consistent this season, something that cannot be labelled at Goosen who after an encouraging spell missed his last two cuts in Europe. He has little decent form here while Villegas has a couple of top twenty finishes. Throw in a comprehensive 7-2 h2h lead over the last 12 months and Villegas's stronger game at the moment should seee him victorious. 

Stake 2pts Slocum to beat Maggert -110 @ The Greek Win
Not much to separate these two on current form as neither player is setting the heather alight at the moment. In terms of previous course form Maggert has won here in the past but with three decent finishes from six previous starts here Slocum has arguably the better and more consistent form. Slocum leads the way comfortably in three year h2h's and has a narrow lead in recent h2h's. I make him a -120 shot here. 

Stake 2pts O'Hern to beat Petrovic -110 @ The Greek Win
O'Hern nhas shown glimpses of form this season but is inconsistent. Inconsistency is something that hasn't afflicted Petrovic this season. So far he has been consistently bad followed by consistently good and now he's back to consistently bad again. Despite having no course experience O'Hern is pretty accurate and could be favoured by this weeks course. Petrovic was second here back in 2002 and has shown nothing on four subsequent appearances. Despite the lack of course form O'Hern should be a reasonably strong favourite.