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5-6; +0.70pts Round 1 plays (2pts): Mike Weir to beat Ernie Els +100 @ FiveDimes LOST by 1
I'd make Weir the favourite in this match. A former champion from 2001, Weir's last two appearances at East Lake have yielded finishes of 4th and 6th - Els' 6th place finish last year was his best performance at East Lake since 2000 - and he has been much more consistent than Els lately. But even though Weir has been the more consitent player over 72-holes, that is not the case when starting events. In terms of the 1st round only, Weir leads Els 10-1-1 h2h in 2009. Mike Weir to beat David Toms +100 @ FiveDimes [also available @ Bet365] WON by 2
Since his playoff loss to Weir in 2001 and 3rd place finish in 2002, Toms has largely struggled to break par at East Lake since then. With his form some way below that of Weir - he has finished ahead of the Canadian just once since May - there is little to suggest that Toms should be priced as the favourite in this match. Scott Verplank to beat Sean O'Hair +110 @ SkyBet and Paddy Power [available generally] LOST by 4
Verplank has played at East Lake five times, averaging less than 69 over those 20 rounds and finishing 5th, 14th, 7th, 3rd, and 5th. Having also finished in the top-10 in two of the three Playoff events so far, he does look set for another high finish on this course. Round 2 plays (2pts): Sean O'Hair to beat Lucas Glover -110 @ Stan James [tie loses] WON by 1 Luke Donald to beat Y.E. Yang -110 @ SkyBet [tie loses] WON by 4 Sean O'Hair to beat Stewart Cink -125 @ The Greek [available generally] WON by 2 Round 3 plays (1pt): Padraig Harrington to beat Sean O'Hair -125 @ Bet365 [also available @ Extrabet and Paddy Power] LOST by 1 Ernie Els to beat Sean O'Hair +100 @ Carib [available generally] LOST by 1 Round 4 plays (1pt): Steve Stricker to beat Phil Mickelson -105 @ Bet365 LOST by 4 Steve Marino to beat Phil Mickelson +150 @ Stan James [tie loses] LOST by 6 Dustin Johnson to beat Mike Weir +100 @ FiveDimes WON by 1
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