Bets: 5     Wins: 4     Losses: 1     Profit/Loss = + 8.36 pts

Stake 5pts Ames to beat Sabbatini -110 @ The Greek Win
Ames held a 11-5 h2h lead over Sabbatini last season and in Florida h2h's Ames currently leads Sabbatini 18-4. Ames has had an average start to the season but he usually does on the west coast swing. Although Sabbatini's current form is the stronger of the two but his poor Florida record puts a question mark around that form and in four previous starts here his best finish is 62nd while Ames has a previous top ten finish here.

Stake 2.5pts Crane to beat Bryant -110 @ BetFred Win
Stake 3pts Gay to beat Bryant -110 @ Bet365 & InterTops Win
Prior to last weeks 4th place finish you had to go back to April 2008 to find the last decent finish from Bryant. Last weeks place finish alongside his decent previous record here has resulted in his price far shorter than he reasonably should be for a player of his ability and consistency.
Crane is by far the better player and although his previous form here is no match for Bryants he has had a couple of decent finishes and with such a sound short game he should be suited to the demands of this course.  
In a similar fashion to Crane, Gay has an excellent short game but also has good previous form here with a couple of top ten finishes in his last three starts. He can also be forgiven for his missed cut last season as it came the week after his debut win on the tour. Gay also holds an 11-3 h2h lead over Bryant over the last 12 months.

Stake 3pts Senden to beat Imada -110 @ ToteSport Loss
Senden has started the season well and has finished second in this event for the last two seasons. His poor short game is a concern but that is redeemed by his superb iron game. Imada has also had an encouraging start to the season and has good previous form here. But Senden leads Imada 11-7 in h2h's over the last 12 months and he has won 70% of the h2h's in Florida. I make Senden a -130 shot here with such a favourable h2h record and with conditions to suite.   

Stake 2pts Trahan to beat Pettersson -110 @ Expekt Win
Although Pettersson has some decent form here in the past he has followed that up with a couple of missed cuts and he has not had the best of starts to the season. Meanwhile Trahan does not have the best of form here but has had a much better ctart to the season. So it's the old favourite of course form v current form. I typically favour current form in this case and with Trahan holding a 12-5 h2h lead over the last 12 months I have to have him as favourite here. His poor Florida form is a worry but both his form here annd in general has improved considerably over the past couple of years that I make him a -125 shot here.