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3-1; +6.20pts (system plays: 13-8-1) Round 1 play (2pts): Robert Allenby to beat Hunter Mahan -110 @ Five Dimes WON by 3
I would certainly make Allenby the favourite in this matchup. Mahan did win the Phoenix Open last month, but his best finish this year apart from that event has been 27th. That can't compare with Allenby who has finished ahead of Mahan in every common event in the last six months apart from the Phoenix Open (Allenby finished 8th). In terms of their form in Florida, the difference is even more striking: the last time that Mahan finished ahead of Allenby in a Florida event was back in 2007. So, with Allenby in great form, particularly early in events - he has finished 5 of his last 10 events in the top-10 after the 1st round and 6 of his last 10 events in the top-10 after the second round - he should beat Mahan with ease. [unofficial rd1 system plays: Allenby tb Watney -105 (W); Allenby tb Goosen -110 (W)] Round 2 play (4pts): Kenny Perry to beat Henrik Stenson +120 @ Stan James WON by 5
Opposing Stenson in the second round, not simply as he has admitted to being deprived of sleep following the birth of his son, but he also admitted in his post-round interview that he is struggling with confidence and that it is a struggle at the moment. His low scores had been due to "making some great saves" and "making some good putts", but the fatigue and the lack of confidence will surely catch up with his during the week. Perry recovered from a poor start and should be able to take advantage of the predicted under-par performance from Stenson today. [unofficial rd2 system plays: Mayfair tb Duval -105 (W); O'Hair tb Holmes -102 (W); Furyk tb Els +100 (L); Furyk tb Stenson -119 (W); Perez tb Green -115 (L); Senden tb Molinari -120 (L); Ames tb Howell -125 (W); Ames tb McDowell -115 (L); Clark tb Molder +100 (T)] Round 3 play (2pts): Tim Clark to beat Rickie Fowler -130 @ Five Dimes LOST by 1
Clark his finished ahead of Fowler in four out of five common events this year and I'd expect the same to continue this week. Fowler has rarely made the cut and been out of contention at the same time, but when he has, he hasn't made any weekend charges up the leaderboard. And given his scorecard yesterday - a run of four successive bogeys - it appears that he would be unable to turn his score around if he were to fall further down the leaderboard today. [unofficial rd3 system plays: Mahan tb O'Hair -105 (L); Goosen tb Na -161 (L); Sutherland tb Barnes -139 (W); Day tb Lamely +110 (L); Marino tb McNeill -120 (W); Snedeker tb Howell -115 (W); Hayes tb Blanks -135 (W); Slocum tb Green -111 (L); Marino tb Holmes +115 (W); Marino tb Dufner -120 (W)] Round 4 play (2pts): Charles Howell to beat Brandt Snedeker +100 @ Five Dimes [also available @ Carib] WON by 4
Can't see Snedeker remaining ahead of Howell today. He ranks a lowly 53rd (of 75) in greens in regulation so far this week, has failed to finish in the top-30 in any of his last three events (Howell has finished in the top-30 in seven of eight starts in 2010), and has a poor 4-12 final round h2h record against Howell since the start of last season. [unofficial rd4 system plays: Imada tb Dufner +105 (W); Couch tb Molinari +125] |
