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18-Hole Match Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: 2-Balls

 

Odds: 3-Balls

Turning Stone Resort Championship
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1-1; -0.10pts  (system plays: 3-3-1) 

No round 1 plays.

 

Round 2 play (2pts):

J.J. Henry to beat Webb Simpson -140 @ 5Dimes  WON by 2
Henry hit the ball further, straighter, on more greens in regulation, and closer to the pin than Simpson yesterday, so I can see no reason why he can't (i) finish ahead of Simpson for the 10th time in the last four months; and (ii) finish in the top-20 as he did in only previous appearance in this event (2008).

 

Round 3 play (2pts):

Brett Quigley to beat Chris Couch -105 @ 5Dimes  LOST by 5

[unofficial rd3 system plays: Bjornstad tb Merritt -105 (W); Toms tb Bettencourt +105 (T); Pampling tb Willis -105 (L)]

 

Round 4 play (2pts):

Garrett Willis to beat Steve Elkington +110 @ 5Dimes [also available @ Stan James]  TIED
Elkington has been going backwards since he opened with a 66 and finished the first day in 3rd place - rounds of 71 and 70 have dropped him to 14th - so it will be a big ask for him to rebound in the final round. And it is not as though he has been in contention a great deal lately - he has no top-20 finishes in his last seven starts; Willis has four top-20 finishes in his last seven starts.

[unofficial rd4 system plays: Lunde tb Garrigus +115 (W); Couch tb Cejka +110 (L); Uresti tb Connell +100 (L); Matfair tb Warren +110 (W)]

NOTES

There will be only one play per round - my 'best bet' - and these will typically be 2pts and cover only '2-ball' matches rather than '3-ball' matches. Where my analysis points to a particular mismatch that is not reflected in the odds, higher stakes may be advised, up to a maximum of 6pts.

Note that '2pts' represents 'to win 2pt' if the player is odds-on (negative in moneyline terms or less than 2.0 in decimal odds) and represents '2pts staked' if the player is odds-against (positive in moneyline terms or at least 2.0 in decimal odds).