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2-0; +6.00pts (system plays: 9-7-2) Round 1 play (2pts): Ryan Moore to beat Hunter Mahan -110 @ 5Dimes [also available @ SkyBet, Stan James, Bet365 and Boyle Sports] TIED
Backing Moore to repeat on a course where he has played well in the past - 11th and 2nd in the last two years here. However, it is his confidence in his game in interview that is striking - he was pleased that he finished 2nd last week, but he pointed out that he had only missed one cut all year and had been consistently getting himself into good positions each week, but falling back over the weekend. A look at his last 16 strokeplay events does show that he has finished the 1st round in the top-15 on nine occasions (a 56% success rate) and he is 15/16 in finishing the 1st round in the top-50 and 15/16 in finishing the 2nd round in the top-50. He clearly has every reason to be confident that his form will continue this week. Just for comparison, Mahan has finished 11 of his last 16 strokeplay events in the top-50 after round 1 and just 4 of 16 in the top-15. [unofficial rd1 system plays: Rose tb Scott -110 (L); Van Pelt tb Simpson -105 (T); O'Hair tb Kim -102 (L); Furyk tb Choi +115 (L); Holmes tb Woodland -105 (L); Furyk tb Simpson +125 (L)] Round 2 play (4pts): Patrick Cantlay to beat Chris Kirk -145 @ 5Dimes WON by 2
Not only backing Cantlay because of the amateur's top-25 finishes in the last two weeks and his 60 in hte 2nd round last week, but also opposing Kirk who looks set to miss the cut for he seventh time in his last eight starts. He may currently lies in 29th position, but he had been in higher post-rd1 positions in two of his last three starts, but still missed the cut anyway. In such a poor run of form, he should struggle to score well today unlike Cantlay who continues to impress. [unofficial rd2 system plays: Choi tb Scott +105 (W); Rose tb Scott +125 (L); Howell tb Scott -120 (W); Singh tb Gay -105 (W); Fowler tb Scott -111 (W); Haas B tb Pettersson -110 (T); Simpson tb Fowler +100 (L); Watney tb Wilson -189 (W)] Round 3 play (2pts): Vijay Singh to beat Spencer Levin +101 @ Pinnacle [available generally] VOID (Singh dns)
Levin may be the better player in 2011, but this is clearly a course that suits Vijay. He has played in three of the four years and finished in the top-15 every time - 12th, 7th and 9th. He is currently tied with Levin 13th place so looks set for yet another top-15 finish at Aronimink. These appear decent odds for him to continue being conpetitive on this course. [unofficial rd3 system play: Holmes tb Woodland +120 (W)] Round 4 play (2pts): Charles Howell to beat Charlie Wi -125 @ Paddy Power WON by 13
It will have been a major uplift for Howell to chip in on the last hole as his good start to this tournament has started to become undone. As it stands, he has still shot every round under par and only four shots off the lead. Given his recent form - 20th, 22nd and 3rd in his last three starts - he should be able to maintain his form and remain in contention today. Given that Wi is ranked 171st on Tour in Final Round Scoring Average, he looks less likely to maintain his form today. [unofficial rd4 system plays: Howell tb Levin -117 (W); Howell tb Molder -110 (W); Choi tb Scott -110 (W)] |
