18-Hole Match Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: 2-Balls

Odds: 3-Balls

1-2; -0.02pts  (system plays: 9-8-0)

Round 1 play (2pts):

Robert Allenby to beat Charl Schwartzel +100 @ 5Dimes  LOST by 3
Can't dispute Schwartzel's form, but in a PGA Tour event it really should be Allenby who is the favourite and particularly on this course. Bay Hill ranked as the 5th hardest course on Tour last year and with the fairways firmer and the rougher tougher this year, this really will be a tough test of ball-striking ability and this is Allenby's primary strength. That is why he has three top-15 finishes in his last four visits (including twice when he led the field in greens in regulation that week), whereas Schwartzel finished 52nd on his course debut last year (he ranked 59th in greens in regulation). And with Allenby finishing in the top-15 in each of his last three strokeplay events, he looks set to be on the fringes of contention for another complete tournament.

[unofficial rd1 system plays: Mickelson tb Mahan +102 (L); Gay tb Woodland +100 (W); Couch tb Levin +105 (L)]

Round 2 play (4pts):

Spencer Levin to beat Edoardo Molinari +105 @ Boyle Sports  WON by 5
A surprising selection given that it is the first round leader and he has yet to win on the PGA Tour, but this is the third time that Levin has held the lead after the opening round of a PGA Tour event this year - to be first round leader in three of his ten starts this year is very impressive. In the two previous occasions this year, he has followed his 1st round low score with 2nd round scores of 69 and 72, so he has hardly buckled under the pressure. The difference now is that he compiled his first round score in the worst of the conditions in the afternoon - he will now tee off in the opening group in the calm morning conditions today. Molinari will be the one playing in the generally tougher conditions in the afternoon and, given that his form, other than a top-10 in Asia, has not been notable this year, he should struggle again to break par today.

[unofficial rd2 system plays: Senden tb Molinari -125 (W); Laird tb Couch +100 (W); Senden tb De Jonge -110 (L)]

Round 3 play (2pts):

Kevin Na to beat Edoardo Molinari -110 @ 5Dimes  TIED

[unofficial rd3 system play: Furyk tb Rose +102 (L)]

Round 4 play (2pts):

Spencer Levin to beat Steve Marino -111 @ Bet365 [also available @ SkyBet]  LOST by 4
Levin's game and temperament have looked very impressive this week. He held sole lead after day one, but has ended the next two days in 2nd place behind Martin Laird and, while he dropped back with two late bogeys yesterday, he closed out his round in solid fashion and so will fancy his chances of winning the event against a player who has shown a lot of nerves when leading a PGA Tour event in the final round. He has been in a similar position three times in the last six months: he shot 66 in the Justin Timberlake event to finish one shot outside the three-way playoff; he shot 68 in the Children's Miracle Network Classic to remain 3rd; and he shot 65 in last month's Mayakoba Golf Classic, but lost out in a playoff. As the player who ranked #1 in rounds under-par and rounds in the 60s last year, I'd expect Levin to mount a strong challenge to Laird today and shoot a lower score than Marino along the way. Marino has finished ahead of Levin only once in their last eight common events.

[unofficial rd4 system plays: Woods tb Furyk -138 (L); Woods tb Mickelson -138 (W); De Jonge tb Immelman +100 (L); Leishman tb Immelman -110 (W); Furyk tb Pride -167 (W); Choi tb Wi -130 (W); Woods tb Garcia -160 (L); Toms tb Immelman +105 (W); Moore tb Marino -125 (L); Rose tb Henry -125 (W)]