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2-2; +2.00pts (system plays: 6-3-1) Round 1 play (2pts): Phil Mickelson to beat Dustin Johnson +100 @ Pinnacle and WSEX WON by 2
Looking for a decent West Coast Swing from Mickelson ... and so does he, if his schedule is anything to go by. He did struggle in the second half of last year, but that was due to the diagnosis of Psoriatic Arthritis. However, six months on and he is now in a position where the symptions are being managed and he can once again lift the weights that he could previously. And this is certainly an event in which he can start his PGA Tour season with confidence - he is a three-time winner here and has finished in the top-20 in seven of the last eleven years. Johnson has managed it just once in his four attempts, averaging 72.4 around the South Course so can be opposed in this matchup. Round 2 play (4pts): Y.E. Yang to beat Sung-Hoon Kang -140 @ 5Dimes WON by 3
I simply do not understand this line. I would back Yang to beat Kang -140 over 18 holes in any event and in any round on the PGA Tour, so with Kang holding the sole possession of the lead after the first round this is a bonus. He may have held the post-round lead in his home Tour or on the OneAsia Tour, but he has never been in this position on any of the major Tours so it will be quite a performance if he can remain in the top-10 at the end of the second day. Yang is both playing well - he is 5th after the 1st round - and clearly did not suffer an injury yesterday - which may account for this line - as he confirmed his entry in the Phoenix Open yesterday. So this appears a gift to back a player in the top-50 in the World Rankings against one outside the top-500! [unofficial rd2 system plays: Haas B tb Fowler +110 (W); Jones tb Duval -110 (L); Leishman tb Fowler +125 (L); Haas B tb Bradley K -135 (W)] Round 3 play (2pts): Carl Pettersson to beat Martin Piller +110 @ 5Dimes LOST by 2
Pettersson is the underdog as he took two shots more to get round the South Course yesterday and made the cut line right on the mark, and two shots behind Piller. There are a couple of issues here: (i) Piller is in poor form - he has missed the cuts in both his previous starts this year and so will be feeling to pressure to convert this cut-made into dollars earned as his best previous finish on the PGA Tour is 40th; Pettersson has a top-5 finish already this year; and (ii) Pettersson's record when so far off the pace is very impressive - last year he started the 3rd round outside the top-60 on four occasions: in the Mayakoba Classic he shot 73 to move up the leaderboard one place; in the Houston Open he shot 71 to move up the leaderboard five places; in the Canadian Open HE SHOT 60 AND WENT ON TO WIN THE EVENT; in the Viking Classic he shot 66 to move up the leaderboard 50 places. [unofficial rd3 system plays: Holmes tb Lovemark +105 (T); Jones M tb Prugh -102 (W)] Round 4 play (2pts): Anthony Kim to beat Bubba Watson +100 @ Stan James [also available @ Bet365 and Boyle Sports] LOST by 5
Kim currently lies in 5th place and only two shots off the pace. His history suggests that he should be a contender for much of Sunday. He has started the final round in the top-5 on the PGA Tour on ten previous occasions and he has finished the day outside the top-5 on just one of those occasions. And with a 6-1-0 final round h2h record against Watson in the final round, he looks the player to back in this matchup. [unofficial rd4 system plays: Kim A tb Mahan -120 (W); Johnson D tb Sutherland -130 (W); Vegas tb Sutherland -111 (W); Jacobson tb Sutherland -105 (L)] |
