18-Hole Match Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: 2-Balls

Odds: 3-Balls

2-1; -0.44pts  (system plays: 5-2-0)

No round 1 plays.

Round 2 play (4pts):

Kevin Na to beat Ernie Els -111 @ Bet365  LOST by 6
Backing Na to continue his purple patch of form. Following on from his win at Summerlin last week, he was tied for the lead during his round and reached four-under-par after ten holes. However, he missed from inside 3-feet on the 13th hole for a par and, in his own words, it 'really three me off' - he then followed it two more bogeys. At birdie at his final hole brought back to within two shots of the lead and it is clear that apart from a rebound from a shock on the 13th hole, he is still playing really well. I can't see why he won't continue as such today and, barring any repeat of yesterday's loss of concentration, he should beat the Big Easy who has failed to record a top-10 finish anywhere in 2011.

[unofficial rd2 system plays: Campbell tb Piercy -120 (W); Els tb Piercy -120 (W); Willis tb Baird -130 (T); McGirt tb Tringale +100 (T)]

Round 3 play (2pts):

Garrett Willis to beat Troy Matteson -105 @ Pinnacle  WON by 3
Matteson is clearly enjoys this event - he won the 2009 Frys.com Open at Grayhawk. But last year's event was played at this week's course and he finished almost last and this year he has recorded a top-10 finish since March, so his confidence should be rather low. He did lead after the opening round of the Deutsche Bank Championship, but then shot 71-77-78 to finish last. Willis has shown the better form recently and did not have to return to the couse this morning so finish his second round, so he should be fresher and more likely to bounce-back than Matteson if not playing as well as hoped.

Round 4 play (2pts):

Kevin Na to beat Paul Casey -120 @ Paddy Power  WON by 3
Backing Na again after he bounced back well from his poor 2nd round - he shot 65 yesterday to jump to 13th and six shots off the lead. For Casey, he started the day in 1st place, but could only shoot 68 and finished the day in 2nd place. Sadly, that has been the story of his year since his win at the Volvo Golf Champions in January: he has had no top-10 finishes in hte subsequent 17 starts and when he has started well - 1st in the Transition Championship and 4th in the Wyndham Championship after one round - each successive round has seen him fall further down the leaderboard. Na should maintain his great form, whereas Casey may do well to hang onto his current position.

[unofficial rd4 system plays: Jobe tb Steele -125 (L); Na tb Levin -120 (L); Molder tb Els -120 (W); Rollins tb Cauley -120 (W); Willis tb Green -120 (W)]