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1-3; -6.06pts (system plays: 10-4-1) Round 1 play (2pts): Francesco Molinari to beat Graeme McDowell -105 @ Bet365 [also available @ William Hill] LOST by 4
Wouldn't have touched Molinari in this matchup at the start of the year when McDowell was playing so well that he had a mathematical chance of being the new World #1 depedent on results at the Masters. However, an indifferent performance at the Cadillac Championship and missed cuts at both the Arnold Palmer Invitational and the Masters suggests he may be opposable, particularly on a course on which his record is 70th, mc. Molinari is making his course debut, but this is a course that should suit his ball-striking skills - he is not long off the tee, but very straight and currently leads the European Tour in greens in regulation (and has been in the top-10 for that stat in each of the last three years). [unofficial rd1 system play: Barnes tb Molinari +130 (W)] Round 2 play (4pts): Jerry Kelly to beat Camilo Villegas +110 @ Bet365 LOST by 3
Last time out in the Masters was only the second event this year that Villegas has survived a cut all season, but even then he finished last of the players that did play all 72 holes. He hurt his back early in the season and hasn't looked the player that he was since he returned. Sure enough, he shot 66 yesterday and now lies in 6th place, but he was 14th after rd1 of The Masters and struggled thereafter. He looks more likely to do the same this week than continue day one's form. Kelly is only one shot further back after yesterday's play and, given that only one player hit greens in regulation yesterday (Matt Bettencourt), he looks the more likely to play well today. [unofficial rd2 system plays: Crane tb Villegas -133 (W); Crane tb Haas B -125 (W); Day J tb Simpson -125 (W)] Round 3 play (2pts): Brandt Snedeker to beat Ben Crane +110 @  Paddy Power [also available @ SkyBet] LOST by 1
Can't see why Crane is so favourd in this matchup. Snedeker has finished ahead of Crane in every one of their common events this year - the last time that Crane finished ahead fo Snedeker was in August 2010 - and in terms of their 3rd round h2h record, Snedeker leads Crane 10-2-0 since the start of last season. And it is not that Snedeker is in poor form, he has had finishes of 4th, 15th and 4th in his last four starts. He fully deserves to be inside the top-10 alongside Crane and shouldn't fall out of it today. [unofficial rd3 system plays: Snedeker tb Poulter -105 (W); De Jonge tb Levin -110 (W); Perez tb Barnes +100 (L); De Jonge tb Wilson M +100 (W); Hayes tb Bettencourt +110 (L); Hayes tb Herron -110 (L)] Round 4 play (2pts): Michael Bradley to beat Jeff Klauk +102 @ Centrebet [available generally] WON by 2
This is the first cut that Klauk has made on the PGA Tour for 12 months, so little wonder that Bradley has finished ahead of him in every common event over that period. They may be tied now in 17th place, but the favourite really should be Bradley who has already won on the PGA Tour this season (Puerto Rico Open). [unofficial rd4 system plays: Couch tb Wilson M +105 (T); Barnes tb Levin +100 (W); Verplank tb De Jonge +100 (W); Furyk tb Verplank -163 (L); Campbell tb Wilson M -105 (W] |
