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18-Hole Match Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: 2-Balls

 

Odds: 3-Balls

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2-2; +2.40pts  (system plays: 7-4-3) 

Round 1 play (2pts):

Ryan Moore to beat Nick Watney +110 @ Paddy Power  LOST by 7
Backing Moore to win this battle of the Las Vegas residents. He showed improved form in the Playoffs, finishing 10th and 16th in his last two starts and should do well in an event in which he has yet to miss the cut, and finished 7th last time here. Watney has a couple of top-10 finishes in this event, but has been much kess consistent here and, having played last week, may stuggle to raise his game for these Fall Series event.

 

Round 2 play (4pts):

Kevin Na to beat Scott Piercy +110 @ Paddy Power  WON by 2
Opposing Piercy even though he was born in Las Vegas and won the Reno-Tahoe Open in this State three months ago. However, he has achieved just one other top-10 finish this season and has yet to record a top-10 finish in this event. Na has been much more consistent - he ranks well above Piercy in the Money List despite Piercy's win - with five top-10 finishes this year and he has a good record in this event, making the cut in each of his five previous visits.

[unofficial rd2 system plays: Watney tb Laird -136 (L); Mediate tb Bowditch -110 (L); Pettersson tb McNeill -125 (W); Crane tb Immelman -121 (T); Weekley tb Mathis -125 (W); Tringale tb Steele -125 (L)]

 

Round 3 play (2pts):

Duffy Waldorf to beat Will Strickler +100 @ 5Dimes  LOST by 2
Opposing Strickler who has missed 11 of 15 cuts on the PGA Tour and 6 of 8 cuts on the Nationwide Tour this year. To say that he is struggling with his game is an understatement. He did open with a 66 and was 4-under-par after his front nine yesterday, so blew his chance to salvage his season and was 3-over-par on the way home. He now lies 37th and out of contention so can only rue his back nine yesterday. For Waldorf, there is no pressure - he will be eligible for the Champions Tour next year and he has a good record in this event: he has now missed the cut just once in his last 15 attempts at Summerlin.

[unofficial rd3 system play: Vegas tb Steele +108 (T)]

 

Round 4 play (2pts):

Nick Watney to beat Robert Garrigus -161 @ Stan James [also available @ Unibet]  WON by 5
A short price, but Watney is the best player in this field, according to the World Rankings, and he is tied for the lead so doesn't have to start his round from a defensive position. He has looked in very good form this week and should improve on his 10-3 h2h record against Garrigus this year.

[unofficial rd4 system plays: Levin tb Garrigus -110 (W); Molder tb Frazar -125 (W); Watney tb Na -182 (L); Levin tb Herron -154 (W); Na tb Garrigus -108 (W); Blanks tb Garrigus -122 (W); Gainey tb Goydos -139 (T)]

NOTES

There will be only one play per round - my 'best bet' - and these will typically be 2pts and cover only '2-ball' matches rather than '3-ball' matches. Where my analysis points to a particular mismatch that is not reflected in the odds, higher stakes may be advised, up to a maximum of 6pts.

Note that '2pts' represents 'to win 2pt' if the player is odds-on (negative in moneyline terms or less than 2.0 in decimal odds) and represents '2pts staked' if the player is odds-against (positive in moneyline terms or at least 2.0 in decimal odds).