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3-1; +8.72pts (system plays: 21-11-3) Round 1 play (2pts): Matt Kuchar to beat Martin Kaymer +120 @ SkyBet [also available @ Stan James and Unibet] WON by 10
Three missed cuts in three visits over the last three years is Kaymer's record at Augusta National. In his own words, he struggles with the draw necessary for effective course management here and he has also struggled on the greens in his previous visits. He may now be number one in the world, but I can't see this year being hugely different for the German. He should struggle to beat the ever-consistent Kuchar who was last year's leading money winner on the PGA Tour and has maintained that consistency to be 8th in this year's Money List despite being the only player in the top-10 without a win this year. [unofficial rd1 system plays: Mahan tb Kaymer -105 (W); Kuchar tb Mahan +100 (W); Woods tb Watney -105 (W); Cabrera tb Quiros -110 (L); Johnson D tb Kaymer -105 (W); Molinari F tb Kaymer +120 (W); Choi tb Watson B -103 (W); Scott tb Baddeley +100 (W); Garcia tb Scott +115 (W); Singh tb Baddeley +110 (L)] Round 2 play (4pts): Tiger Woods to beat Lee Westwood -120 @ Bet365 [also available @ SkyBet and Expekt] WON by 1
Have profitably opposed Westwood in recent weeks and will do so again while his form is so indifferent. He had a very mixed round yesterday, closing with a bogey, so his game is a long way short of last year when he finished 2nd. If Tiger manages to find the fairway more often - not that difficult at Augusta - he should shoot a lower score today and at least be on the fringes of contention heading into the weekend. [unofficial rd2 system plays: O'Hair tb Fisher -110 (L); Woodland tb Quiros +105 (T); Kuchar tb McIlroy -103 (L); Kuchar tb Westwood -109 (L); Woods tb McDowell -174 (W); Woods tb McIlroy -120 (W); Mickelson tb Rose -150 (L); Mickelson tb Ogilvy -155 (L); Kuchar tb Fowler -120 (L)] Round 3 play (4pts): Luke Donald to beat Lee Westwood +110 @ Pinnacle [available generally] WON by 5
Rather fortunate to get the win yesterday as Westwood played much better than expected, but at least Tiger was back to his best. But one good round doesn't make Westwood the player that he was in 2010. Donald has finished ahead of him in each of their three common events since the start of the year and has a 8-2 h2h lead over him in 3rd round scores since the start of last season when Westwood was playing well. So with Donald recording the same number of top-10 finishes here as Westwood, but in half as many events, I can't see any reason why he shouldn't be the favourite against Westwood rather than a good-priced underdog. [unofficial rd3 system plays: Stricker tb Mickelson +160 (T); Marino tb Baddeley +110 (W); Scott tb Baddeley +132 (W); Casey tb Johnson D -105 (L); Yang tb Barnes -117 (W)] Round 4 play (2pts): Martin Laird to beat Miguel Angel Jimenez -104 @ Extrabet TIED (loss)
On form alone, this should be an easy win. Since the WGC-Cadillac Championship, Laird has finished 10th, 5th and 1st, whereas Jimenez has been 55th (of limited field) and mc. And whereas Jimenez has plenty of experience around this course, Laird is making his debut and so an opening 74 was, perhaps, to be expected, but he has shot 69-69 since and looks set to confirm his position in the top-20 of the World Rankings with yet another strong performance this week. Against Jimenez, he has shot the lower round in rd3 or rd4 since the start of the 2010 season in common events; he continued that run yesterday and should do so again today. [unofficial rd4 system plays: Stricker tb Jimenez -150 (W); Kuchar tb Palmer -150 (L); Laird tb Molinari E -130 (L); Garcia tb Matsuyama -140 (W); Garcia tb Quiros -104 (W); Mickelson tb McIlroy -160 (W); Woods tb Quiros -167 (W); Rose tb Barnes -125 (W); Stricker tb Poulter -120 (W); Kuchar tb Watson B +105 (W)] |
