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Spread Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Andy

Odds:Spreads

 
 
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am
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R1 18H MB's at Sporting Index

Sell Sean O'Hair over John Rollins at 5 (0.25 Pts) M/U 0, Profit 1.25 Pts

O'Hair has a 7-4 lead in both 72H and R1 18H matches over the last year and that doesn't equate to a 5-8 quote, especially when Rollins played Phoenix last week in 4 less shots in the first two days prior to O'Hair missing the cut.

Sell Michael Allen over Kris Blanks at 4 (0.75 Pts) M/U -22, Profit 19.5 Pts
This is a strange one because H2H's sees Blanks have a 7-4 lead over a year, and it is possibly Allen's slightly superior course record that has given rise to the quote. Blanks' one year scoring is nearly a full stroke better than Allen's though, and quite frankly, from a very busy week on both tours, this is the standout bet.

Sell Mark Wilson over Chez Reavie at 8 (0.25 Pts) M/U 13, Loss 1.25 Pts
Wilson has now won twice in 2011 but with an average course record and a 6-3 H2H over Reavie he must have been priced on the expectation that no one will want to oppose him.

Sell Tim Clark over Michael Bradley at 11 (0.25 Pts) (Clark N/R)
A quirk of last year's H2H's means that Bradley leads Clark 3-2 and although it is clear that Clark is by far the better player, it is an indication that he is no "near certainty" in this match-up, which the price implies.

Sell Dustin Johnson over Pat Perez at 8 (0.5 Pts) M/U 16, Loss 4 Pts
Johnson has won the last two runnings of this, should have won the US Open here, and is the clear bookies favourite. What we have to remember though is that Perez has been 2nd here, has only missed one cut, and beat Johnson last week in Phoenix by a stroke. Of course, Johnson should be the clear favourite but 8 is a slight exaggeration of his chances.

2-2-0 +15.5 Pts