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0-1; -2.00pts Round 1 play (2pts): Nick Watney to beat Dustin Johnson +105 @ Bet365 LOST by 6
Two players in very good form, but Watney is the pick at these odds given his record at Scottsdale. Whereas Johnson failed to break par in either round in his only previous visit in 2009 (he missed the cut), Watney has made the cut in five the last six years, averages 68 over the first two rounds if 2006 is ignored and was the leader after two rounds in 2009. |
NOTES
There will be only one play per round - my 'best bet' - and
these will typically be 2pts and cover only '2-ball'
matches rather than '3-ball' matches. Where my analysis points to a
particular mismatch that is not reflected in the odds, higher stakes may be
advised, up to a maximum of 6pts.
Note that '2pts' represents 'to win
2pt' if the player is odds-on (negative in moneyline terms or less than 2.0 in decimal odds) and represents
'2pts staked' if the player is odds-against (positive in moneyline terms or at least 2.0 in decimal odds).
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