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Stake 8 pts Aaron Baddeley +135 over Martin Laird (pinnacle)

Badds has had some mixed results at sawgrass through he managed a t9 in 2008 and his seperation from the stackand tilt  swing last year has provided huge dividends. So far this season he has a win and 3 top tens, missing only one cut. Laird has a MC and a t71 in hisonly 2 starts. Laird has a nice season going as well but he missed the cut last week and his inexperience at this tricky venue should have badds as the favorite. Don't get this line at all!

Stake 4.44 pts Zach Johnson -111 over Robert Allenby (expect)

 Johnson may have found something last week finishing 6th at Quail Hollow after an opening round of 73. He has played sawgras well missing only one cut and has finished 8th in his debut. He is also the type of player that plays well there.With Allenby you never really know what you are going to get so I am hoping he has an off week and should after a mc at augusta and two mediocre starts at New Orleans (t40) and Charlote (t48).

Stake 4.4 pts Ian Polter -110 over Paul Casey (extrabet)

Casey has missed the cut in 4 of 6 starts at sawgrass. His recent form is suspect as well as he shot 78 in the first round last week and missed the cut. Poulter was runner up here in 2008 and has only missed 2 cuts in 7 attempts.

Stake 5.55 pts Nick Watney -111 over Dustin Johnson (expekt)

Both players missed the cut on the same number last week. Watneys best finsh is t17 at sawgrass but he should do better. Johnson is playing three weeks in row but the kicker is that first event was in south korea, hence the missed cut. He is aslo going though a caddie chance and has former NHL hockey player Dan Quinn on the bag the past few weeks. I just don't see him playing well at all here where length is not rewarded, I don't even think he can hit driver on most of the holes.

stake 3.15 pts Matteo Mannasero -105 over Eduordo Molinari ( 5dimes)

stake 2 pts Louis Oosthuzen +150 over Charl Scwartzel ( extrabet)

value play, masters hangover