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18-Hole Match Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: 2-Balls

 

Odds: 3-Balls

Texas Open
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1-3; -4.70pts  (system plays: 12-8-2) 

Round 1 play (2pts):

Bo Van Pelt to beat Martin Laird +110 @ 5Dimes  LOST by 3
After lots of early season promise, Van Pelt was very pleased with how his game was coming together last week - he was only one shot off the lead when he walked off the 15th green on Sunday. Quite a contrast to Laird who has been in great form recently - 10th, 5th and 1st before the Masters - but he has had just one week off in the last five weeks. It is even more tiring that he has been in such contention and last week he was again in contention, but faltered in the final round when he was paired with Tiger Woods. He is making his debut on this course and this looks like the week for a letdown, unlike Van Pelt who is fresher, played well here last year and is coming off a Sunday charge.

[unofficial rd1 system plays: Hoffman tb Palmer -110 (W); Hoffman tb Howell -105 (W); Hoffman tb Gay -110 (W); Perez tb Sutherland +110 (T)]

 

Round 2 play (4pts):

J.B. Holmes to beat Ryan Palmer -111 @ Bet365  WON by 7
Plenty of reasons to back Holmes in this matchup. He is playing far better than Palmer - Holmes is a perfect 4-0 against him this year and 14-6 against him since the start of last season - and he has an impressive record on this course - he held the sole lead after 54 holes on this course last year, but struggled from the very first hole in the final round. Currently in 14th place and just three shots off the lead, he should fancy his chances this week.

[unofficial rd1 system plays: Lunde tb Wilson -140 (L); Cabrera tb Kirk -120 (L); Perez tb Atwal -120 (W)]

 

Round 3 play (4pts):

Matt Every to beat Dean Wilson -105 @ 5Dimes [available generally]  LOST by 2

[unofficial rd3 system plays: Vegas tb Blanks +100 (L); Sutherland tb Beem +100 (L); Snedeker tb Holmes -110 (W); Barnes tb Holmes +120 (W); Chappell tb Beem -110 (W)]

 

Round 4 play (2pts):

Adam Scott to beat Charley Hoffman -125 @ Stan James [also available @ Extrabet and The Greek]  LOST by 8

[unofficial rd4 system plays: Laird tb Holmes -125 (W); Scott tb Snedeker -140 (L); Laird tb De Jonge -130 (W); Snedeker tb Perez -125 (T); Howell tb Perez -135 (L); Hoffman tb Perez -120 (W); Snedeker tb Taylor -138 (W); Howell tb Taylor -150 (W); Howell tb Jacobson -120 (L); Wilson tb Chappell -140 (L)]

NOTES

There will be only one play per round - my 'best bet' - and these will typically be 2pts and cover only '2-ball' matches rather than '3-ball' matches. Where my analysis points to a particular mismatch that is not reflected in the odds, higher stakes may be advised, up to a maximum of 6pts.

Note that '2pts' represents 'to win 2pt' if the player is odds-on (negative in moneyline terms or less than 2.0 in decimal odds) and represents '2pts staked' if the player is odds-against (positive in moneyline terms or at least 2.0 in decimal odds).