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18-Hole Match Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: 2-Balls

 

Odds: 3-Balls

Travelers Championship
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0-2; -4.20pts  (system plays: 12-9-1) 

Round 1 play (2pts):

Vijay Singh to beat Aaron Baddeley +100 @ Unibet, The Greek and Carib [also available @ 5Dimes and Pinnacle]  TIED
Vijay may be only 20 months away from the Champions Tour and a unlikely winner on the PGA Tour again, but he does have a very good history around this course. Importantly, it is a good recent history. He has never missed the cut on this course and has finished in the top-15 in three of the last four years - he finished 4th in 2007, 5th in 2008 and 13th last year, though he had been 3rd at the cut. He showed with his top-10 finish in the Wells Fargo Championship and his closing 65 last time out that he is playing well enough to record another top-15 here. Baddeley has been in the better current form, but not by a large margin, however he has played the full 72 holes just once in his last four visits here and he has just one finish in the top-60 at River Hghlands in six attempts.

[unofficial rd1 system plays: Toms tb Simpson -111 (L); Wi tb Davis -105 (L); Toms bt Snedeker -111 (W); Hoffman tb Laird +102 (W); Wi tb Na -103 (W)]

 

No round 2 plays.

 

Round 3 play (2pts):

Patrick Cantlay to beat Johnson Wagner -110 @ The Greek  LOST by 1

[unofficial rd3 system plays: Holmes tb Laird -111 (L); Adams tb Taylor +105 (W); Mahan tb Baddeley -110 (T); Adams tb DiMarco -110 (W); Adams tb Mathis +100 (W); Romero tb Wagner -110 (W); Rollins tb Barnes +110 (W)]

 

Round 4 play (2pts):

Patrick Cantlay to beat Johnson Wagner +100 @ Bet365  LOST by 1
Cantlay would have won yesterday but for a three-shot swing in the last two holes. With Cantlay now out of the lead, he will be playing without the added pressure today and could certainly rebound and maintain his top-10 position to the end of the tournament. The fall from 2nd to 10th place on Saturday will cause a lot more pressure for the PGA Tour professional than for the amateur, so he may well struggle again.

[unofficial rd4 system plays: Cantlay tb Mathis -130 (L); Simpson tb Romero -125 (L); Snedeker tb Mathis -161 (L); Streelman tb Steele -150 (W); Jacobson tb Molder -118 (W); Mahan tb Baddeley -150 (L); Davis tb Thompson -138 (L); Rollins tb Molder -120 (W); Moore tb Driscoll -150 (W); Mahan tb Watney -110 (L)]

NOTES

There will be only one play per round - my 'best bet' - and these will typically be 2pts and cover only '2-ball' matches rather than '3-ball' matches. Where my analysis points to a particular mismatch that is not reflected in the odds, higher stakes may be advised, up to a maximum of 6pts.

Note that '2pts' represents 'to win 2pt' if the player is odds-on (negative in moneyline terms or less than 2.0 in decimal odds) and represents '2pts staked' if the player is odds-against (positive in moneyline terms or at least 2.0 in decimal odds).