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18-Hole Match Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: 2-Balls

 

Odds: 3-Balls

Byron Nelson Championship
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2-0; +8.00pts  (system plays: 8-4-4) 

No round 1 plays.

 

Round 2 play (4pts):

Carl Pettersson to beat John Huh -136 @ Pinnacle [available generallly]  WON (Huh wd)

[unofficial rd2 system plays: Campbell tb Steele -120 (W); Palmer tb Frazar -120 (T); Singh tb Frazar -120 (T); Points tb Frazar -138 (W); Points tb Blixt -140 (W); Couch tb Green -130 (W); Leishman tb Goggin -110 (W); Pettersson tb Piercy -125 (L); Day tb Bradley K +105 (T); Kuchar tb Bradley K -138 (T)]

 

No round 3 plays.

 

Round 4 play (4pts):

Matt Kuchar to beat Keegan Bradley -115 @ 5Dimes [available generally]  WON by 2
With five holes to play yesterday, Kuchar was the sole leader and looking likely to win in consecutive weeks, but then he dropped four shots over the closing holes and now sits alongside Bradley in 8th place, four shots off the lead. However, I do expect Kuchar to bounce back. He has previously said that the key to playing well around Sawgrass and Las Colinas was to keep it out of the Bermuda rough and it was his failure to do so over the last few holes that cost him yesterday. He will be much more likely to keep it on the fairway than Bradley today. He ranks 2nd in scoring average on the Tour and holds the record for most current cuts made, plus he has not finished behind Bradley in any event in the last three months. I don't expect him to do so today.

[unofficial rd4 system plays: Kuchar tb Mickelson +100 (L); Walker tb Gonzalez -116 (L); Perez tb Walker -125 (W); Palmer tb Piercy -120 (W); Singh tb Leishman +100 (L); Perez tb Piercy -105 (W)]

NOTES

There will be only one play per round - my 'best bet' - and these will typically be 2pts and cover only '2-ball' matches rather than '3-ball' matches. Where my analysis points to a particular mismatch that is not reflected in the odds, higher stakes may be advised, up to a maximum of 6pts.

Note that '2pts' represents 'to win 2pt' if the player is odds-on (negative in moneyline terms or less than 2.0 in decimal odds) and represents '2pts staked' if the player is odds-against (positive in moneyline terms or at least 2.0 in decimal odds).