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1-1; -0.32pts (system plays: 4-6-1) No round 1 plays. Round 2 play (4pts): Robert Garrigus to beat Retief Goosen -120 @ Boyle Sports WON by 4
It was a very impressive 1st round by Garrigus: not only is he 5th after his 64, but he ranked 3rd in driving distance, 6th in driving accuracy, 1st in greens in regulation and 1st in scrambling, plus his 'average distance to the pin' was only 21' 1'' (Steve Stricker leads this PGA Tour category with almost 32 feet as his average for this year, so that shows how impressive is 21 feet as an average for a round). He has shown good form this year with eight top-25 finishes and if he can keep the ball on the fairway as he did yesterday, there is a very good chance that he will shoot another low score today. [unofficial rd2 system plays: Kuchar tb Palmer -125 (L); Levin tb Thompson M -114 (L); Matteson tb Vegas -120 (W)] No round 3 plays. Round 4 play (4pts): Brian Davis to beat Nathan Green -118 @ Expekt [available generally] LOST by 1
Green did win this event three years ago at Glen Abbey, but he has struggled since: in 2010, he had just one top-10 and hasn't recorded a top-20 in either 2011 or 2012. His exemption from the Canadian Open win expired at the end of last season and he is now playing in 2012 as a result of Q-School, but he looks set to go back again: he ranks 173rd in the 2012 Money List. With that ranking, he is under a lot of pressure today with his 15th place position and I can't see him being able to perform well under that pressure or matching Davis who ranks in the top-50 on the Money List. [unofficial rd4 system plays: Garrigus tb McGirt -138 (L); Appleby tb Gainey -105 (W); Cauley tb Teater -138 (T); Davis tb Duke +100 (W); Palmer tb Piercy -120 (L); Van Pelt tb Cauley -120 (L); Lunde tb Green +100 (L); Goosen tb Todd -150 (W)] |
NOTES
There will be only one play per round - my 'best bet' - and
these will typically be 2pts and cover only '2-ball'
matches rather than '3-ball' matches. Where my analysis points to a
particular mismatch that is not reflected in the odds, higher stakes may be
advised, up to a maximum of 6pts.
Note that '2pts' represents 'to win
2pt' if the player is odds-on (negative in moneyline terms or less than 2.0 in decimal odds) and represents
'2pts staked' if the player is odds-against (positive in moneyline terms or at least 2.0 in decimal odds).
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