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8 pts Jonathan Byrd at evens (Bet365) v Ryan Moore

The weather looks like it will be playing a key role in determining the outcome this week with high temperatures and strong winds forecast for all 4 days. After ploughing through the stats it appears Byrd has a game much better suited to such conditions, indeed he seems to thrive in high winds. Ryan Moore in contrast often struggles and his record at Colonial hardly inspires confidence either with a best finish of 29th from 5 attempts. Byrd also leads Moore decisively in career head to heads as well as head to heads in Texas. All in all he looks an excellent wager as the even money outsider.