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1-1; -2.00pts (system plays: 7-7-0) No round 1 plays. Round 2 play (4pts): Harris English to beat Matt Every -125 @ Stan James [also available @ Bet365] WON by 1
Easy to oppose Every after he set the course record in round 1. His best finish on the PGA Tour has been 3rd and the one time that he has held the first round lead on either the PGA or the Nationwide Tour (2010 Greenbrier Classic), he shot shot 72 to drop to 27th after the 2nd round and finished the week in 66th place. English has been in solid form, finishing 18h and 6th in his last two starts, and should continue yesterday's form that saw him finish the day in 11th place. [unofficial rd2 system plays: Matteson tb Mulroy -120 (L); Cauley tb Steele -140 (W); Cauley tb Palmer -120 (L); Streelman tb Palmer -105 (L); Kuchar tb Wagner -163 (W); Streelman tb Curtis -125 (L)] No round 3 plays. Round 4 play (4pts): Matt Kuchar to beat Charlie Wi -150 @ Boyle Sports [also available @ Stan James] LOST by 2
There was a huge advantage for those playing the morning on Friday relative to those playing in the afternoon (over 4 shots) and these two players were in the opposite groups. It meant that Kuchar's 76 almost took him out of this tournament, but yesterday's 67 saw him jump back to 6th and six shots off the lead. Shooting the low round of day would normally be grounds to oppose Kuchar, but given the (bad) luck of the draw, I think he will continue his momentum today. With Kuchar 15th in the World Rankings and Wi 114th, there is a big enough gulf in class between these two players to warrant these odds. With Kuchar rankings 11th in final round scoring this year and Wi 165th (of 180), then it really should take a poor round by Kuchar to lose this matchup. [unofficial rd4 system plays: Kuchar tb Palmer -138 (W); Piercy tb Steele -111 (L); Kuchar tb Chalmers -160 (W); Piercy tb Harman -135 (L); Streelman tb Palmer +100 (W); Gay tb Huh -108 (L); Curtis tb Noh +110 (W); Blanks tb Harman -120 (W)] |
NOTES
There will be only one play per round - my 'best bet' - and
these will typically be 2pts and cover only '2-ball'
matches rather than '3-ball' matches. Where my analysis points to a
particular mismatch that is not reflected in the odds, higher stakes may be
advised, up to a maximum of 6pts.
Note that '2pts' represents 'to win
2pt' if the player is odds-on (negative in moneyline terms or less than 2.0 in decimal odds) and represents
'2pts staked' if the player is odds-against (positive in moneyline terms or at least 2.0 in decimal odds).
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