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R1 18H MB's all at www.sportingindex.com for 0.5 Pts Sell Gregory Bourdy over Brenden Jones at 2 M/U 16, Loss 7 Pts Jones plays predominately on the Japanese Tour where he has an excellent record and occasionally players from this tour are underestimated when playing outwith. Pouring over all the available stats I can make a case for Jones to be the favourite slightly more than Bourdy so to get a 2pt start is worth taking. Sell D.A. Points over Dong-Hwan Lee at 7 M/U 25, Loss 9 Pts Sell Kevin Streelman over Dong-Hwan Lee at 6 M/U 13, Loss 3.5 Pts Support here for another Japanese Tour player, who doesnt have the record that Jones does but the handicap allocated to the two US Tour players is excessively high. Both Points and Streelman missed their previous two cuts, and their general stats suggest both are more likely to miss the cut than make it, so the scoring system to this type of bet makes it value to be with Lee even if he is unlikely to beat either player. R2 Spreads, 0.5 Stakes Sell Gregory Bourdy over Brendan Jones at 2 M/U 0, Profit 1 Pt A 2 stroke win yesterday for Bourdy but the value still applies today. -18.5 (1-3-0) |
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