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Update after round 3: LAY Steve Stricker to a liability of 25pts @4.5 (i.e. stake 7.14pts) position now: Steve Stricker: 22.89 Charl Schwartzel: 53.7 Ryan Moore: 103.45 The field: 2.85 to leave in-running: LAY Charl Schwartzel to a liability of 10pts @6 (i.e. stake 2pts) -- unmatched LAY Charl Schwartzel to a liability of 15pts @3 (i.e. stake 7.5pts) -- unmatched LAY Ryan Moore to a liability of 20pts @6 (i.e. stake 4pts) -- unmatched LAY Ryan Moore to a liability of 30pts @3 (i.e. stake 15pts) -- unmatched ------------------------------------- BACK Steve Stricker to win 50pts @24 (i.e. stake 2.17pts) BACK Charl Schwartzel to win 50pts @60 (i.e. stake 0.85pts) BACK Bill Haas to win 50pts @75 (i.e. stake 0.68pts) BACK Ryan Moore to win 100pts @170 (i.e. stake 0.59pts) Stricker has been very consistent despite his light schedule this season and with other players beginning to suffer from fatigue his relative freshness could be key here. He also has an excellent record in this part of the world, the closest the tour comes to his home state of Wisconsin. Nothing in particular to like about Schwartzel, but nothing in particular to dislike either - the main draw is the price. He's every bit in the same class bracket as Kuchar, Dufner, Stenson, Rose - he just hasn't had the high profile win recently that would see him going off at a half or third of these odds as they all are. Price is a key factor too in the next pick - with 5 wins in the last 4 years I can't ignore Bill Haas at these odds, and he has been there and done it at this stage of the season before as well. Ryan Moore has been starting events well then falling away a bit of late and he does seem to struggle to string 4 rounds together without throwing a bad one in. If he can avoid that he is capable of getting in to contention here and may provide a trading opportunity. |
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