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1-0; +5.00pts Round 1 plays (4pts): Kevin Stadler to beat Matt Every +125 @ William Hill WON by 4
I'll bite at these odds. Every did finish 3rd here last year, but Stadler wasn't too far back in 16th place. In fact, unlike Every, Stadler has played in this event (albeit always in February until this year) evey year and made the cut every time, including top-20 finishes in four of six attempts. I'll take that consistency on this course versus one good year for Every here (plus a disqualification in 2010). And it is a similar story with recent form ... Every finished 7th last week, but it was his first top-30 finish since August; Stadler also finished in the top-10 last week, but has achieved top-30 finishes in his two other starts in the last month. Charles Howell to beat Ryan Moore +105 @ 5Dimes TIED
No doubting Moore's form in October, but he did struggle in his last outing in the HSBC Champions. He is also making his course debut, so I'll back Howell who has shown equally good form over the past month and he does have a very good record on this course with tp-20 finishes in each of the last three years here. |
NOTES
* UPDATE: 18th September 2012 *
Following the dramatic reversal in the performance of my
18-hole tips over the last two months, there will be a change in my posting
policy:
There will now be posted up to a maximum of five plays per round,
but only for the PGA, European, Champions, LPGA and Nationwide Tours.
This does include co-sanctioned events by these Tours.
As before, these plays will typically be 2pts and cover only '2-ball'
matches rather than '3-ball' matches. Where my analysis points to a
particular mismatch that is not reflected in the odds, higher stakes may be
advised, up to a maximum of 6pts.
Note that '2pts' represents 'to win
2pt' if the player is odds-on (negative in moneyline terms or less than 2.0 in decimal odds) and represents
'2pts staked' if the player is odds-against (positive in moneyline terms or at least 2.0 in decimal odds).
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