Finishing Positions with Sporting Index Sell Bill Haas at 36 for 0.3pts * Since the beginning of 2013, Haas has beaten this quote in 22/30 outings * Progressive form in this event (29-19-6 in last three seasons) * Based on my pricing model this quote should be three or four points lower R1 (10+3s) with Sporting Index Buy Matt Jones / Brendan Steele at 1.50 for 0.2pts * Two solid performances at Scottsdale have been overestimated in the quotes for Steele this week * Both players have shown moderate form in the opening tournaments of this year * Since the beginning of 2013, Jones leads the tournament head-to-head 11-8-2 but has a more emphatic 17-5-0 lead in the R1 matchups * Based on a pure numbers approach, I would make Jones more than a three point favourite over Steele 2-0-0 +2.60 |