Finishing Positions at Spreadex Buy Tim Clark at 37 for 0.3pts * His form at Waialae is exceptional - 2/2/17/25/12 - but this factor has been overplayed in his quote for this year * Based on my pricing model, this quote is approaching three places too high Challengers Group Index (50-30-20-10) at Spreadex Buy Jimmy Walker at 14 for 0.5pts * Decent form at the end of 2013 including a win at CordeValle in October * His outing last week should help him get back into the groove following a nine-week break from competition * Patches of decent form at the course including a 4th placed finish in 2011 * Using a pure numbers approach, I would value Walker at 16.5 in this company R1 (10+3s) at Sporting Index Sell Justin Hicks / Matt Bettencourt at 3 for 0.2pts * Both players have shown form at the course - Hicks was 15th last year while Bettencourt finished 5th in 2011 * Bettencourt started tournaments better than Hicks last season, winning the R1 head-to-head 5-1-1 * Based on my models, there is nothing to choose between these two players R1 (10+3s) at Spreadex Buy Ryan Palmer / Mark Wilson at 1.5 for 0.2pts * In 2013, Palmer won the tournament head-to-head 10-4 and the R1 head-tp-head 10-3-1 * Both players have won this event and have gone head-to-head at the course 4 times with Palmer leading 3-1 in R1 scores * Looking at this market from a purely numerical point of view, Palmer should be quoted several points higher 3-1-0 +29.40 |