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Spread Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Gareth

Odds:Spreads

 
 
Sony Open in Hawaii
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Staking will be based on a maximum potential loss of approx 12 Points if the result Makes Up at the worst possible result.

 

Finishing Positions at Spreadex
Buy Tim Clark at 37 for 0.3pts
* His form at Waialae is exceptional - 2/2/17/25/12 - but this factor has been overplayed in his quote for this year
* Based on my pricing model, this quote is approaching three places too high

Challengers Group Index (50-30-20-10) at Spreadex
Buy Jimmy Walker at 14 for 0.5pts
* Decent form at the end of 2013 including a win at CordeValle in October
* His outing last week should help him get back into the groove following a nine-week break from competition
* Patches of decent form at the course including a 4th placed finish in 2011
* Using a pure numbers approach, I would value Walker at 16.5 in this company

R1 (10+3s) at Sporting Index
Sell Justin Hicks / Matt Bettencourt at 3 for 0.2pts
* Both players have shown form at the course - Hicks was 15th last year while Bettencourt finished 5th in 2011
* Bettencourt started tournaments better than Hicks last season, winning the R1 head-to-head 5-1-1
* Based on my models, there is nothing to choose between these two players

R1 (10+3s) at Spreadex
Buy Ryan Palmer / Mark Wilson at 1.5 for 0.2pts
* In 2013, Palmer won the tournament head-to-head 10-4 and the R1 head-tp-head 10-3-1
* Both players have won this event and have gone head-to-head at the course 4 times with Palmer leading 3-1 in R1 scores
* Looking at this market from a purely numerical point of view, Palmer should be quoted several points higher

 

3-1-0  +29.40