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1-2; -0.80pts (system plays: 0-1-0) Round 1 plays (4pts): Boo Weekley to beat Danny Lee +100 @ 5Dimes WON by 2
This looks a good opportunity to oppose Lee who won last week's Greenbrier Classic after a playoff and has now playing in next week's Open Championship as a result. That will be his 10th event in 11 weeks, so fatigue must surely be a factor as will motivation if he doesn't has a fast start in this event. His record here reads mc-30th-mc, so a fast start looks unlikely. I'm surprised that he is not preparing for next week in Scotland, so I will gladly oppose him at these odds with a player who finished 8th last time out, is not playing in the Open Championship next week and has a better record on this course. Stewart Cink to beat David Toms +103 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib] TIED
I'm surprised to see Cink as a clear underdog in this matchup. He has finished ahead of Toms in five of seven common events since March and he has regularly chosen to play in this event - three times in the last four years, whereas it is three times in the last fourteen years for Toms. Round 2 plays (2pts): Brian Campbell to beat Bryson DeChambeau -140 @ 5Dimes LOST by 5
Opposing DeChambeau who fully warrants his 144th position on the leaderboard - he ranks 149th in greens in regulation. Campbell followed up his 27th place finish in the U.S. Open with a top-10 finish on the Web.com Tour last week, so he is in far better form than the amateur. Brian Harman to beat Danny Lee -113 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib] TIED
The same reasons as for the 1st round play aganst Lee. The afternoon players averaged just over half a shot better than the morning players yesterday, but he is still back in 37th place. A poor start and he will be far better prepared for next week's Major by missing the cut. Harris English to beat Justin Thomas +125 @ SkyBet [also available @ Paddy Power] LOST by 2
Opposing the 1st round leader. This is the first time that Thomas has been in this position on the PGA Tour, but on the three occasions that he has been in this position after two rounds, he failed to break 70 in the next round. [unofficial rd2 system play: McNeill tb Bohn -120 (L)] No round 3 plays. No round 4 plays. |
NOTES
* UPDATE: 18th September 2012 *
Following the dramatic reversal in the performance of my
18-hole tips over the last two months, there will be a change in my posting
policy:
There will now be posted up to a maximum of five plays per round,
but only for the PGA, European, Champions, LPGA and Nationwide Tours.
This does include co-sanctioned events by these Tours.
As before, these plays will typically be 2pts and cover only '2-ball'
matches rather than '3-ball' matches. Where my analysis points to a
particular mismatch that is not reflected in the odds, higher stakes may be
advised, up to a maximum of 6pts.
Note that '2pts' represents 'to win
2pt' if the player is odds-on (negative in moneyline terms or less than 2.0 in decimal odds) and represents
'2pts staked' if the player is odds-against (positive in moneyline terms or at least 2.0 in decimal odds).
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