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2-1; +4.00pts No round 1 plays. Round 2 plays (4pts unless stated): Jonathan Byrd to beat Jason Gore -120 @ 5Dimes [4pts] WON by 4
With top-15 finishes in both of his previous visits to Trump International, Byrd looks capable to building on his current 5th place position. Gore couldn't match Byrd's score yesterday, but with four missed cuts in five starts this year, there will certainly be increased pressure on him today. Given that he ranked lower than Byrd yesterday in driving distance, driving accurcy, greens in regulation and scrambling, his overall play looks likely to stand up to the pressure today. Jon Curran to beat Scott Pinckney -120 @ 5Dimes TIED
Two more players in 5th place, and this is the 3rd time that Pinckney has finished rd1 inside the top-5. His previous history suggests that he will not stay there: in last year's Sanderson Farms Championship, he missed the cut from this position; in this year's Humana Challenge, he dropped further fown the leaderboard with every subsequent round. Curran already has a top-10 finish this year and should be more comfortable in this position. Fabian Gomez to beat Andrew Loupe -120 @ 5Dimes WON by 2
With finishes of 19th, 7th and 2nd at Trump International, Gomez is a course specialist and should be expected to bounce back from an opening round that sees him only just inside the cut line. Loupe's best finish of the season is 60th, so looks less likely of making a significant move in rd2. Round 3 play (2pts): Guy Boros to beat John Daly +138 @ Coral and Boyle Sports [available generally] LOST by 1
Worth a punt at this price to oppose Daly who lies 11th after rd2. The last time that he started the weekend inside the top-20 of a PGA Tour was the 2012 Justin Timberlake Shriners Hospital Open - he shot 86-77 over the weekend to finish 71st. He has been in this position twice since that event, both on the European Tour, and on those occasions he shot 78-73 (2013 BMW Masters, finished 48th), 77-73 (2014 Qatar Masters, finished 61st). Admittedly, I don't expect Champions Tour player, Boros, to stay inside the top-15, but at least his play warrants that position - he currently ranks 12th in greens in regulation; Daly ranks 64th. No round 4 plays. |
NOTES
* UPDATE: 18th September 2012 *
Following the dramatic reversal in the performance of my
18-hole tips over the last two months, there will be a change in my posting
policy:
There will now be posted up to a maximum of five plays per round,
but only for the PGA, European, Champions, LPGA and Nationwide Tours.
This does include co-sanctioned events by these Tours.
As before, these plays will typically be 2pts and cover only '2-ball'
matches rather than '3-ball' matches. Where my analysis points to a
particular mismatch that is not reflected in the odds, higher stakes may be
advised, up to a maximum of 6pts.
Note that '2pts' represents 'to win
2pt' if the player is odds-on (negative in moneyline terms or less than 2.0 in decimal odds) and represents
'2pts staked' if the player is odds-against (positive in moneyline terms or at least 2.0 in decimal odds).
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