|
3-5; -12.84pts Round 1 play (4pts): Michael Putnam to beat Jamie Lovemark -110 @ 5Dimes LOST by 3
Opposing Lovemark who has a good record on the Web.com Tour, but struggles on the PGA Tour. He has missed the cut in each of the last two weeks which brings his record to 28-for-65 in cuts made on the PGA Tour since 2008. No such problems for Putnam who was the Web.com Player of the Year in 2013, was 23-for-30 in cuts made in the he 2013-14 PGA Tour season and 16-for-28 last season. He also finished 15th in the Sanderson Farms Championship two weeks ago and has course experience (48th two years ago), whereas Lovemark is making his debut. Putnam is not a likely winner of the event, but is more likely to be still in the event on Sunday. Round 2 plays (4pts): Charles Howell to beat Kyle Riefers -150 @ 5Dimes [also available @ Pinnacle, The Greek and Carib] LOST by 1 Chad Campbell to beat Lucas Glover -120 @ 5Dimes TIED Roberto Castro to beat Smylie Kaufman -130 @ 5Dimes TIED Brandt Snedeker to beat Harris English -111 @ Paddy Power LOST by 3 Brice Garnett to beat Peter Malnati -105 @ 5Dimes WON by 1 Round 3 plays (4pts): Alex Cejka to beat Freddie Jacobson -110 @ 5Dimes and The Greek [also available @ Pinnacle and Carib] WON by 4 Kevin Kisner to beat Graeme McDowell -125 @ Paddy Power WON by 1 Round 4 plays (4pts): Graeme McDowell to beat Kevin Kisner -115 @ The Greek [also available @ 5Dimes, Pinnacle and Carib] LOST by 3
Kisner is justifiably the favourite to win this event - he holds a three-shot margin over Chappell in 2nd place and he has won twice on the Web,com Tour previously. However, he is 0-for-3 in playoffs on the PGA Tour this year alone so he has had trouble closing out for a win at this level. That was also the case in the HSBC Champions two weeks ago when he started the final round with a share of the lead with Russell Knox, but finished the day two shots behind him. At four shots off the pace, McDowell should be in a very goood position to play today without pressure and is clearly in very good form having won the OHL Classic last week. Justin Thomas to beat Bill Haas -135 @ 5Dimes LOST by 3
Thomas is another player in very good form - he finished 3rd in Frys.com Open and won the CIMB Classic. It is surprising that he is as low down the leaderboard as he is, but he has the form to shoot a low score today. Haas is playing his first event since September and so is understandably down the leaderboard and looks less likely to shoot a low score today. |
NOTES
* UPDATE: 18th September 2012 *
Following the dramatic reversal in the performance of my
18-hole tips over the last two months, there will be a change in my posting
policy:
There will now be posted up to a maximum of five plays per round,
but only for the PGA, European, Champions, LPGA and Nationwide Tours.
This does include co-sanctioned events by these Tours.
As before, these plays will typically be 2pts and cover only '2-ball'
matches rather than '3-ball' matches. Where my analysis points to a
particular mismatch that is not reflected in the odds, higher stakes may be
advised, up to a maximum of 6pts.
Note that '2pts' represents 'to win
2pt' if the player is odds-on (negative in moneyline terms or less than 2.0 in decimal odds) and represents
'2pts staked' if the player is odds-against (positive in moneyline terms or at least 2.0 in decimal odds).
|
