18-Hole Match Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: 2-Balls

Odds: 3-Balls

4-4; -3.24pts 

Round 1 plays (4pts):

Scott Piercy to beat Danny Lee +101 @ Pinnacle [available generally]  LOST by 5
Lee certainly had a purple-patch of form in a six-week period in July-August when he finished in the top-6 in four of five starts, but he has finished further down the leaderboard with each Playoff event, whereas Piercy showed great form to finish 3rd last week. He also has course experience - he finished 15th three years ago - whereas Lee is making his course debut and he ranks higher in the World Rankings. This points to the value being with the underdog in this matchup.

Charley Hoffman to beat Brooks Koepka +115 @ 5Dimes  LOST by 5
Koepka is another who was in great form, but has failed to replicate it in the Playoff, finishing mc-mc-49th so far and breaking 70 just once. Hoffman's season hasn't been as eye-catching, but he is still ranked 8th in the FedEx Cup, finished 3rd in the Deutsche Bank Championship and he finished 6th in his previous appearance on this course. With Koepka making his course debut, this is a large price against such an out-of-form player.

J.B. Holmes to beat Kevin Kisner +106 @ Pinnacle [available generally]  WON by 8
Again the value should be with the underdog. Both players are making their debuts and while the course should suit Kisner's game better than Holmes', it was J.B. who has the better form and momentum after his 4th place finish last week.

Round 2 plays (2pts):

Dustin Johnson to beat Daniel Berger -132 @ Pinnacle [available generally]  WON by 1
DJ is a far better player - ranked inside the top-10 in the World Rankings - and has finished ahead of Berger in six of their last eight common events. He has also improved with each appearance at East Lake, finishing 5th last time, so should be expected to finish ahead of his opponent this week.

Hideki Matsuyama to beat Paul Casey -125 @ Paddy Power  LOST by 2
It was a very impressive round from Casey to finish the day in 2nd place, but he is certainly opposable in this position: in the six previous occasions that he has finished rd1 in the top-3 over the last five seasons, he has yet to finish the event in the top-10. Matsuyama is very consistent and the perfect selection to benefit from this situation.

Rory McIlroy to beat Zach Johnson -149 @ Pinnacle [available generally]  LOST by 1
McIlroy's game is definitely in now his 4th event since his return from injury and even though there only nine places between them in the World Rankings, there is a huge difference in ability if McIlroy is getting close to his former game. These odds are fully justified.

Robert Streb to beat Kevin Kisner -102 @ Pinnacle [available generally]  WON by 2
And now a basement battle. Streb has finished ahead of Kisner in five of their last seven common events and ranks higher in both the World Rankings and FedEx Cup than Kisner, so I don't see why Streb is priced as the underdog againt the player in last position.

Matt Kuchar to beat Patrick Reed -120 @ Paddy Power [also available @ SkyBet]  WON by 4
Reed played well yesterday, but dropping four shots in his last three holes summed up Reed's season - lots of promise, but failing to fully deliver ... he has just one top-10 finish in the last six months, whereas Kuch has four in his last eight starts. I don't expect a rebound today from Reed, so Kuchar is hte play.

No round 3 plays.

No round 4 plays.