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A case of style over substance for my main match bet this week, with big-name player Paul Casey undeservedly favourite in my opinion to outscore the super consistent Scot Russell Knox. Both can be a hostage to their putter, but Knox has been a regular on the upper echelons of the ball-striking stats and holds a 13-7 advantage over the Englishman in 3 year head-to-heads. This is Casey's first look at River Highlands, while Knox can boast a 13th-placed finish on his second start (not so good either side of that admittedly) so there is plenty of juice in the evs dnb quote.

8pts Russell Knox to beat Paul Casey at evs (dnb) with FiveDimes