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After initially struggling to find any value this week, I noticed a huge price dispatiry in the JB.Holmes v Scott matchup. The Aussie is 7/10 fav with FiveDimes yet 9/10 outsider (both dnb) with Paddy Power. That could allow the cautious to back both players and guarantee a small profit, and while that approach doesn't really appeal to me, one of those prices is clearly wrong. The head-to-head stats unsurprisingly would lead you towards Scott, but the Aussie hasn't played this event since missing the cut (for the second year running) in 2010 and takes on defending champion JB.Holmes. Scott hasn't convinced since reverting back to the long putter, so JB looks the way to go. 6 pts JB.Holmes to beat Adam Scott 5/4 (dnb) with FiveDimes. |