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Betfair Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds:Betfair (external)

 

Odds: Betfair Summary

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7-0; +1.07pts 

Pre-tournament plays:

LAY 20pts liability

Bryson DeChambeau 80  4th
Si-Woo Kim 210  14th
Aaron Baddeley 210  9th
Will Mackenzie 290  59th
Kyle Reifers 170  mc
Graeme McDowell 70  mc
K.J. Choi 130  mc
This will be DeChambeau's first start as a professional and after the week that he had at The Masters, this will be an exhausting affair; together with this event being a traditional-type course, I wouldn't price him this low to win
Kim is a Web.com Tour graduate and has had an exhausting schedule so far - 15 events this season, with only three players on 16 who have played more times - but he has just one top-30 finish in his last seven starts and no course experience at Hilton HeadBaddeley does have course experience - he won here in 2006 - but he has finished mc-42nd-mc-66th in the last four years and given that he hasn't had a top-3 finish in any event since 2011, he can be easilyopposed in win markets
Mackenzie has shown improved form in recent weeks, but still sits outside the top-125 in the FedEx Cup rankings despite playing 14 events; together with a poor course history - no top-30 finish in six attempts - I can't see him moving up the FedEx Cup standings this week
Reifers is another journeyman pro who plays in a lot of events - 15 starts this season - and he secured his first top-10 finish of the year last time out, but he has never played in this event previously so that lack of course experience will be important on this particular course
Opposing another former winner of this event - McDowell won via playoff three years ago - but he hasn't survived a cut since February, so I don't see him as being in the top-15 in the market
Choi's form has dropped significantly since the Tour left the West Coast - 62nd-36th-mc - and with a best finish of 18th in this event, he is another who looks very unlikely to win this event