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14-0; +2.98pts Pre-tournament plays: LAY 20pts liability Angel Cabrera 330 24th
Bryson DeChambeau 350 21st
Lee Westwood 340 2nd
Louis Oosthuizen 42 15th
Brandt Snedeker 70 10th
Rafa Cabrera-Bello 140 17th
Cabrera is a former winner (2009) and finished 2nd three years ago, but he is without a top-20 finish in last 25 PGA Tour starts, so has no chance this week
DeChambeau makes his Masters debut in his final event as an amateur, but the last time that an amateur finished in the top-10 was in 1962 and no amateur has won here
At his prime, Westwood could compete on this course, but he has yet to make a cut in 2016 and does not have the short game to reverse that run this week
Oosthuizen is showing good form this season and he did lose out to Bubba Watson in a playoff in 2012, but in the other six times that he has played here, he has missed the cut four times and finished more than ten shots off the pace in the other two, so not consistent here enough for these odds
Snedeker has failed to reproduce the form that he displayed in January and in the one time that he did seriously contend for this title, he shot 75 in the final round in 2012 when joint-leader at the start of the day
Cabrera-Bello is a player in great form, but his short game in not the best part of his game and it will need to be exceptional if he is to contend on his Masters debut Pre-rd3 plays: LAY 20pts liability Adam Scott 140 42nd
Henrik Stenson 130 24th
Jimmy Walker 190 29th
Brooks Koepka 100 21st
Justin Rose 55 10th
Outside the top-40, nine shots behind Spieth and almost last in dirving accuracy, Scott should never be as low as these odds
Stenson is one shot closer to the lead and has played better than Scott this week, but he has yet to secure a top-10 finish in ten attempts and showed little indication yesterday that he can master this course
Walker is another shot closer - seven behind Spieth - but he is still outside the top-20 and has shown little form over the last two months to indicate that he may close the gap on Spieth and McIlroy
Another shot closer to Spieth in 15th place and five shots off the pace is Koepka and he has the ability to go low, but his short game has not been sharp enough over the first two rounds to be a likely challenger
Rose is a shot further back in 23rd place and while he has the pedigree and course history to win here, these odds are too short for a player this far back when the top two are Spieth and McIlroy Pre-rd4 plays: LAY 20pts liability Daniel Berger 210 10th
Soren Kjeldsen 120 7th
Bernhard Langer 32 24th
Berger is outside the top-10, playing in his Masters debut and has never won a PGA or Web.com Tour event, so he should be double these odds
Kjeldsen is a shot closer in 8th place, but in his 17 previous Majors, he has finished in the top-20 just once (2009 PGA Championship) and missed the cut in the last four, so I don't see him handling the pressure if he does get into contention
This is a hard one as a Langer win would be the fairytale outcome, but I can't see him breaking par again with the greens firming and his lack of length off the tee, so Spieth would really need to have a bad day on the greens to give him a realistic chance of winning |
