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I rarely back favourites in match bets, but Jerry Kelly looks a very solid proposition to outscore Cameron Smith. Kelly is always a man to keep on side in these sort of markets (rarely appeals in the outright market) and a trio of top 10s since 2008 confirms his aptitude for this fiddly low-scoring track. Smith is a course debutant who hasn't really kicked on from a promising spell in his native Austrialia bar a solid effort at Pebble Beach.

6pts Jerry Kelly to beat Cameron Smith at 5/6 dnb with The Greek.  (-6.-1)  +5pts.