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Betfair Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds:Betfair (external)

 

Odds: Betfair Summary

CJ Cup
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4-3; +21.94pts

 

No pre-tournament plays.

 

No pre-rd3 plays.

 

Pre-rd4 plays:

BACK to win 20pts

Justin Thomas 2.38  1st
The conditions are set to be windy again tomorrow and those conditions suited Thomas today as he regained a share of the lead after dropping back to 4th on Friday. Alongside Brown at the top of the leaderboard and two shots ahead of the rest of the field, he deserves to be basked at short odds with the weather likely to be the most likely factor if he fails to win tomorrow than his nearest challengers.
Marc Leishman 8.2  2nd
As an Australian, Leishman should be comfortable in the wind and he also climbs three places today, so now lies in joint-3rd position. His form was very impressive during the Playoffs - he won the BMW Championship and should have won the Dell Technologies Championship - so looks the likely challenger to Thomas tomorrow.
Lucas Glover 27  15th
Glover is a shot further back in 5th place and while he can hardly be described as a player likely to convert chances, these odds are attractive enough for a player in this positoin so worth a small punt.
Paul Casey 50  19th
Casey is another whose game is well-suited to windy conditions and he jumped ten places to 10th today. He is only five shots back and if the wind does create some problems for the leaders tomorrow, this five-shot gap to 10th place could disappear very quickly against someone very capable in those conditions.

 

LAY 20pts liability

Scott Brown 7.4  5th
Brown is 1-for-3 when leading after 54 holes - the win came in the 2013 Puerto Rico Open, when he was in the final pairing with Fabian Gomez which bears little resemblance to this week when he is in the final pairing with a player who is the 2016-17 Player of the Year, FedEx Champion and winner of the latest Major; the last time that he was leading after 54 holes - 2016 Farmers Insurance Open - he shot 87 to finish 49th. That final round was played in blustery conditions and the same is expected tomorrow, so I'd be very surprised if he converted this chance.
Anirban Lahiri 11.5  5th
Two shots back in 3rd place, this is an unusual position for Lahiri on the PGA Tour. In 60 career PGA Tour event, he has started the final round inside the top-5 just once - that was the 2016 CIMB Classic when he led by four shots after three rounds, but shot 72 to finish 3rd and three shots behind Thomas.
Cameron Smith 24  3rd
Smith is a shot further back and has continued the form that saw him finish 5th in the CIMB Classic last week. He did finish with a six on the last hole as he struggles on the back nine and try to win his first PGA Tour event on his own.