David Lingmerth will undoubtedly be disappointed with how the weekend went in Maryland, but focussing on the positives, he is clearly in top form, posting an impressive fifth top 20 from his last 8 starts. Unsurpisingly then, even against a classy operator like Bill Haas, the Swede has won 6 of the last 8 h-2-h's against the American, and while long-term trends point in favour of Haas, Lingmerth is well worth siding with as the outsider in his current vein back at a track he took really well to earlier in his career.

5 pts David Lingmerth to beat Bill Haas at evs (dnb) with Paddy Power.