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RD 4 ADD x 2
1:05 PM ET Stenson -140 over Holmes 3pts
1:15 PM ET Fowler -115 over Day 3pts
1:25 PM ET Casey -135 over Molinari 3.5pts
2:05 PM ET Woodland -105 over Reed 3pts
2:25 PM ET Kisner +110 over Oosthuizen 3pts
2:25 PM ET Murray +130 over Oosthuizen 2.5pts
2:35 PM ET Matsuyama -140 over Thomas 4pts 2:45 PM ET Kisner -135 over Stroud 4pts
5Dimes RD 4 Add:
11:45 AM ET Cantlay -115 over Harman 3pts
12:05 PM ET Z Johnson -130 over Harman 3pts
12:15 PM ET J Smith +105 over Perez 3.5pts
5Dimes
More coming RD 4:
10:25 AM ET Stricker -115 over Lovemark 2.5pts
10:35 AM ET Rahm -135 over Leishman 2.5pts
5Dimes
More coming RD 3 Add:
1:20 PM ET Kang +100 over An 3pts
1:30 PM ET Stroud -120 over Fox 3pts
1:40 PM ET Casey -135 over Oosthuizen 3.5pts
1:40 PM ET Fowler -130 over Thomas 2.5pts
1:50 PM ET Kisner -110 over Molinari 2.5pts
2:00 PM ET Matsuyama -140 over Day 2.5pts
5Dimes
Huge card! RD 3:
11:10 AM ET Stricker -115 over Poulter 2.5pts
11:20 AM ET Kuchar +100 over Rahm 2.5pts
11:40 AM ET Z Johnson -120 over Schwartzel 2.5pts
11:40 AM ET Stenson +120 over D Johnson 2pts
11:50 AM ET Herman +110 over Streb 3.5pts
12:30 PM ET Finau -120 over Lowry 4pts
5Dimes
Few more coming. RD 2 ADD:
12:30 PM ET Murray -110 over Uihlein 2.5pts
1:00 PM ET Kang -140 over Bryan 2.5pts
1:05 PM ET Summerhays +110 over Streb 3.5pts
1:35 PM ET Spieth -125 over Koepka 2.5pts
1:40 PM ET Holmes +100 over Oosthuizen 2.5pts
1:45 PM ET D Johnson -135 over Day 3pts
1:55 PM ET Bradley -175 over Harrington 2pts
5Dimes RD 2:
7:25 AM ET Glover -140 over Tanihara 3pts
7:45 AM ET Grace -130 over Perez 2.5pts
8:15 AM ET Dufner -120 over Mickelson 2.5pts
8:20 AM ET Chappell -140 over An 2.5pts
8:30 AM ET Stricker +105 over Harman 2.5pts
8:35 AM ET Kuchar -125 over Rose 2.5pts
5Dimes RD 1 Add: 12:35 PM ET Glover -155 over Tanihara 3pts 12:35 PM ET Grace -140 over Perez 3pts 1:25 PM ET Dufner +105 over Mickelson 2pts 1:30 PM ET Chappell -140 over An 2pts 1:40 PM ET Stricker -115 over Harman 2pts 1:45 PM ET Kuchar +100 over Rose 3pts 5Dimes RD 1:
7:20 AM ET Murray +100 over Uihlein 3pts
7:45 AM ET Poulter +165 over Matsuyama 1.5pts
7:55 AM ET Summerhays +100 over Streb 3.5pts
8:05 AM ET Fleetwood +100 over Thomas 2.5pts
8:30 AM ET Holmes -120 over Oosthuizen 2.5pts
8:35 AM ET D Johnson -135 over Day 2.5pts
8:45 AM ET Bradley -160 over Harrington 3pts
5Dimes
Afternoon plays will be put up around 12:30 PM ET. |
TIPPING STRATEGY
My strategy is based on several different theories, which I
have outlined below. It is also 99% based on numbers. Every play I post is
supported by some form of numbers, not what I think should happen.
1) History repeats itself. The large majority of
tournaments each year are played on the same course. And while the players
change, the stats and power rankings that predict success on each course
typically do not. And this is where trends are helpful. (Trends are very
helpful for tournaments with new courses as well)
• The trends that I
use are specific to each round of each tournament. I use approximately 40
different player stats and approximately 50 different power rankings. These
stats and power rankings are for an 8 week period and a 4 week period, and
are also weighted. The win/loss record of each of these stats and power
rankings are accumulated from the three previous years of each tournament.
The average sample size is no less than a 100 head to head matchups for each
round.
2) It is my belief that individual sports provide
the greatest opportunity for playing underdogs. Therefore, determining which
underdogs have the most value can be highly profitable.
• In regards to golf, if an individual has a bad day, he
does not have any teammates to pick up the slack. In addition, betting lines
for the world’s top players are often grossly inflated in order to balance
the action. And even the world’s top players have bad days or extended
periods of bad play. The models I have created and are continuing to develop
(regression analysis) allow me to find high value underdogs.
3) More to come……
STAKING PLAN
My plays are based upon a percentage of my starting bankroll
each season. They range from 1% to 8%, with the large majority ranging from
3% to 5%. In order to stay consistent with my fellow tipsters here on
TourTips, I have converted my % system to a points system. 1% is equal to
0.5pts. Therefore, a 3% play equals 1.5pts, a 5% play equals 2.5pts, etc.
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