10-2; +1.91pts 

Pre-tournament plays:

BACK 1pt 

Bryce Molder 350 (& lay 2pts in-running @ 160)  mc
Adding an in-running lay bet as I'm not convinced that Molder will win, but I think that there is a good chance that he will go lower than this during the week. He was 5th after rd1, 4th after rd3 and 6th at the end of this event last, plus he has two other top-15 finishes since 2010. In terms of current form, he shot 61 in the 2nd round of the Sony Open in Hawaii so he is playing well enough to get into contention even if he might not be relied upon to convert these chances.

LAY 20pts liability

John Rahm 19.5  16th
Harris English 60  57th
Graham Delaet 180  9th
Kyle Reifers 400  mc
Si-Woo Kim 450  mc
It has an amazing victory by Rahm last week, but the nature of that breakthrough win will make it difficult to follow up this week - he should be exhausted and that means higher odds than this in my opinion
Since winning twice in 2013, English has been unable to convert any of his subsequent chances so these odds look a little low to me, particularly as he has missed three of his last four cuts
Like Harris, DeLaet has a decent record on this course, but he has shown little form this year with finishes of mc and 54th in his two starts to date
Reifers does not have a good course history, having withdraw after an opening 76 last year on his course debut. He did finish 39th last week to end a run of four missed cuts, but that is not the form which identifies a potential winner
Opening with a round of 83, Kim withdrew after rd1 of last week's Farmers Insurance Open ciring a back injury, With a finish of 67th in his only previous visit to TPC Scottsdale, he also does not fit the profile of a potential winner

Pre-rd3 plays:

BACK 1pt

Sung-Hoon Kang 34  12th

LAY 20pts liability

Rickie Fowler 18.5  4th
Louis Ousthuizen 29  3rd
Michael Kim 80  24th
Daniel Summerhays 220  16th
Patrick Reed 260  68th

No pre-rd4 plays.