9-10; -18.83pts

Pre-tournament plays:

BACK to win 20pts

Kevin Kisner 26  4th
Plenty of reason to support Kisner this week and I'm surprised that his price is not lower. He finished 4th here in 2015 and won the event by six shots in 2016 which shows his suitability to this course. That is no surprise as the University of Graduate alumnus is one of the 25 Sea Island Touring Pros, which means that they train on this course. He finished 3rd in the Tour Championship last time out on Tour and in his last event, he finished the week undefeated in the Presidents Cup. He is only playing this event as it at his home (training) course and with only Matt Kuchar with a higher World Rankings than him in this field, I would make him a clear favourite for this event.

LAY 20pts liability

Matt Kuchar 21  29th
Kuchar is another of the 25 Sea Island Touring Pros and he is also resident there, but it has not resulted in such a strong record on this course. In his six previous visits, he has finished 25th-20th-7th-22nd-25th-mc. Lots of top-25 finishes, but other than his 7th place finish in 2013, he didn't finish any round inside the top-10 if any of his other five appearances. Winless since 2014, he may well secure yet another top-25 finish, but these odds are too low on him to win this event.
Webb Simpson 30  wd
Simpson is another who has recorded plenty of top-20 finishes, but even when he has been leading after 26 holes, as he was in the Wyndham Championship and the Tour Championship recently, he has looked uncomfortable in the lead over the weekend. It is understandable as he hasn't won on Tour since 2013 but with his finishes here reading 41st-dnp-36th in the last three years, he is one to avoid at this price.
Charles Howell 32  mc
And Howell is another. His last win was ten years ago. And while he has three top-20 finishes in a row and four top-20 finishes in seven attempts here, these odds are much too low for someone with that win percentage.

Pre-rd3 plays:

BACK to win 20pts

Bud Cauley 50  8th
I think the two players at the top of the leaderboard will come back to the field today, so there are some good odds on players within the chasing pack. Cauley is another two shots behind the 3rd place players and that is the marker is the two leaders come back to the field. He is in good form with a top-10 finish last month and these odds look big.
Bubba Watson 50  67th
Watson is alongside Cauley on the leaderboard and in the market, though I would have expected him to be lower - he is a nine-time winner on the PGA Tour including a couple of Majors so will certainly be comfortable if the pressure increases over the weekend.
Andrew Landry 55  4th
Landry is a shot closer in 6th place and, like Cauley, finished 7th in the Safeway Open last month to display some form coming into this event. Unlike Cauley and Watson, though, his lower score (64) was recorded on the tougher Seaside course which will be used over the weekend and as that was yesteday it will also be good course momentum for today.
Brice Garnett 65  29th
Garnett is also in 6th place and he also shot the lower score (65) on the Seaside course. Finishing both rounds inside the top-10 and ranking inside the top-15 for both driving accuracy and greens in regulation, these odds are large for a player with these stats.
Ben Silverman 65  8th
And they are also large on Silverman who is also 6th, has also finished both rounds insde the top-10 and also ranks highly for greens in regulation this week (8th). A 67 around the Seaside course yesterday sets him up for a second day on this course today.

LAY 20pts liability

Austin Cook 3.7  1st
Opposing the leader by one over Gay and by five over the 3rd-place players. This is only Cook's 14th start on the PGA Tour and he has never previously led after any round. On the one occasion that he held the lead after any round on the Web.com Tour (2016 Rust-Oleum Championship), he finished 14th so there is a long way to go in this tournament.
Brian Gay 4.9  3rd
Gay has won four PGA Tour titles, but the 2013 Humana Challenge win is the only one this decade. He has played well so far, but these odds look short for someone with so few wins recently so I think that both Cook and Gay will struggle to keep the field at arm's length today.
Brandt Snedeker 16  29th
It has been an impressive return to the Tour so far after being out for over 20 weeks with a sternum injury, but with the forced swing changes that have resulted it will be a completely different matter if he can continue to defy Tour rustiness once the pressure is on over the weekend.
Kevin Kisner 26  4th
Closing out the Kisner play for the same odds as a couple of late bogeys yesterday so him fall well down the leaderboard after such an impressive charge around the Plantation Course. It will still be a healthy profit if he wins, but he hasn't looked as dominant as hoped so far.
Chris Kirk 27  4th
Kirk is a former winner of this event (2013) and he was the first round leader after shooting 63 around the Plantation course, but he wasn't particularly impressive around the Seaside course yesterday and that doesn't augur well for this weekend around that course.
C.T. Pan 27  13th
Pan was 2nd last year after 54 holes and is now 3rd after 36 holes, but I still wouldn't price him as low as Kirk. I don't think that he quite at the level to win on this Tour yet, as he showed when in contention last year.
Vaughn Taylor 34  4th
When Taylor finished 10th in the Southern Farms Championship, it was his first top-10 finish since winning the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in February 2016. That shows how long it has been since he has really been competitive on this Tour and he had been 3rd at the strt of the final round in Jackson, so I don't see him challenging over the weekend.

Pre-rd4 plays:

BACK to win 20pts

Chris Kirk 5.2  4th
I still don't think that Cook will win ven though he leads by three after 54 holes - he has never been in this position after 54 holes on either the PGA or the Web.com Tour and his best finish on this Tour is 6th. Kirk is a four-time winner on the PGA, has won this event previously (2013) and is a University of Georgia alumnus. He will be in the final grouping so will be able to put pressure on Cook.
Brian Gay 11.5  3rd
Gay is also in the final threesome and recovered well after an early double-bogey to finish the day in 3rd place and four behind Cook. He also has four wins on the PGA Tour so this will be two experienced players chasing an inexperienced leader in the final grouping, so will be very well-placed to capitalise as nerves will surely be a factor.
J.J. Spaun 16.5  2nd
Spaun has been in very good form recently, finishing 10th and 14th in the last two weeks. He had been 1st and 7th, respectively, after 54 holes which shows that he had difficulties in the last two Sundays, but this should be different as he is chasing down a five-shot gap to the leader and his form and confidence is clearly as high as it has ever been. It will be difficult to follow up yesterday's 62, but I would still price him lower than this.