10-3; +10.41pts

Pre-tournament plays:

LAY 20pts liability

Tony Finau 18.5  16th
Finau has been in good form over the last two months, but his schedule has taken him to Asia and he has flown back from China to compete this week - that is not the best preparation given that Las Vegas is 16 hours behind Shanghai. And as this is not a course on which big-hitters have done particularly well in the past, these odds look very low on Finau to win.
Webb Simpson 20  20th
Simpson is certainly not in the big-hitter category and he can count one victory here in 2013 (as well as 4th the following year), but that was his last victory on this Tour, so again i would price the player at larger odds than this
Patrick Cantlay 23  1st
With top-20 finishes in his last four starts, Cantlay is another player in good form, but he is also another player who has travelled from Shanghai. Unlike the other selections, he is making his course debut which makes the the odds for the top-3 in the market all look too short.

Pre-rd3 plays:

BACK to win 20pts

Kelly Kraft 6.4  47th

LAY 20pts liability

J.J. Spaun 3.75  10th
Patton Kizzire 20  4th
Aaron Baddeley 23  10th
Kevin Chappell 27  20th

Delayed finish to second and with the third round underday, there is no time for write-ups. 

Pre-rd4 plays:

BACK to win 20pts

J.J. Spaun 3.7  10th
Closing out the Spaun play after he played so well yesterday in difficult conditions despite leading his one-shot lead to Kraft very early in the round. He missed only three greens in regulation yesterday and fully deserves to be (joint) leader as he leads the field in greens in regulation and strokes gained - approaches so far this week. He won on the Web.com Tour just over a year ago and looks better in final round contention than his co-leader so looks the more likely to build on their three-shot lead to the rest of the field.
Patrick Cantlay 13  1st
Also closing out the Cantlay play who has continued his good form on his course debut. He is only four shots back and the odds look better on Cantlay to be main challenger to Spaun and Hossler than other in the chasing pack.

LAY 20pts liability

Beau Hossler 3.95  7th
Hossler has finished 2nd twice on the Web.com Tour, but hasn't won on that Tour, while last week he was 3rd after 54 holes, but shot 73 to finish 10th. It was still his best finish on the PGA Tour (he previous best was 29th), so none of these point to him playing well when starting the final round of a PGA Tour in the joint lead. He also shot the low round yesterday, which is another reason to oppose him today.
Gary Woodland 17  18th
Woodland is another who shot a low round yesterday and jumped 20 places to 4th. He still ranks last in strokes gained - around the green so far this week, so he will need to hit plenty of greens if he is to contend today. I would price him a little higher from this position.
Chesson Hadley 17  4th
Hadley also made significant move up the leaderboard yesterday with a sub-70 round. He is in very good form, but his driving and short game stats have been poor this week, so I would also Hadley is a little higher from 4th place and four shots behind the leaders.