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Betfair Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds:Betfair (external)

 

Odds: Betfair Summary

Travelers Championship
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27-0; +6.20pts

Pre-tournament plays:

LAY 20pts liability

Brendan Steele 38  14th
Byeong Hun An 85  66th
Zach Johnson 90  mc
Jamie Lovemark 95  mdf
Kevin Tway 110  43rd
Kevin Streelman 130  8th
Anirban Lahiri 130  17th
Danny Lee 130  3rd
Harris English 150  mc
Xander Schauffele 150  14th
Morgan Hoffmann 160
Jason Kokrak 170  26th
Harold Varner 210  mc
Wesley Bryan 220  74th
Jonas Blixt 260  62nd
Nick Taylor 280  mc
Patrick Rodgers 290  35th
Meen-Whee Kim 310  mc
Vaughn Taylor 340  57th
Dominic Bozzelli 370  mc
Top-25 finishes in five of six visits to TPC River Highlands suggests that Steele's odds should be lower than usual this week, but he is yet to secure a top-5 finish this year so I would price him a little higher to win even though he may secure another top-25 finish here
An finished 5th in the Byron Nelson Championship, but it has been over a year since his previous top-5 finish on this Tour and he is making his course debut this week
Johnson secured just one top-5 finish in 2016 - the Arnold Palmer Invitational, finishing 5th - and he is yet to secure on this season, so he is another than I cannot see winning this event
Continuing the theme, Lovemark secured one top-5 finish last year and has one top-5 finish this year (at the Sony Open in Hawaii in January), so with a poor course history I would also price him at higher odds than this
The rest of the players are at three figures odds and warrant much higher odds in each case

 

Pre-rd3 plays:

LAY 20pts liability

Graham DeLaet 38  26th
Paraig Harrington 90  17th
Keegan Bradley 250  8th
DeLaet has two top-5 finishes on this course and is currently in 8th place, but his ball-striking stats have been poor and with Spieth in pole position I would price him at higher odds than this
Harrington is also in 8th place, but his ball-striking stats are even worse - he ranks 106th in strokes gained - approaches - so I don't see him making a strong challenge over the weekend
Bradley's ball-striking stats are much better, though it is normally on the greens that he struggles and he is doing this week; in 27th place, he is long way from being a live challenger this week

 

Pre-rd4 plays:

Daniel Berger 10.5  2nd
Chez Reavie 150  43rd
Patrick Reed 190  5th
Brian Harman 430  35th