27-0; +6.20pts Pre-tournament plays: LAY 20pts liability Brendan Steele 38 14th Byeong Hun An 85 66th Zach Johnson 90 mc Jamie Lovemark 95 mdf Kevin Tway 110 43rd Kevin Streelman 130 8th Anirban Lahiri 130 17th Danny Lee 130 3rd Harris English 150 mc Xander Schauffele 150 14th Morgan Hoffmann 160 Jason Kokrak 170 26th Harold Varner 210 mc Wesley Bryan 220 74th Jonas Blixt 260 62nd Nick Taylor 280 mc Patrick Rodgers 290 35th Meen-Whee Kim 310 mc Vaughn Taylor 340 57th Dominic Bozzelli 370 mc Top-25 finishes in five of six visits to TPC River Highlands suggests that Steele's odds should be lower than usual this week, but he is yet to secure a top-5 finish this year so I would price him a little higher to win even though he may secure another top-25 finish here An finished 5th in the Byron Nelson Championship, but it has been over a year since his previous top-5 finish on this Tour and he is making his course debut this week Johnson secured just one top-5 finish in 2016 - the Arnold Palmer Invitational, finishing 5th - and he is yet to secure on this season, so he is another than I cannot see winning this event Continuing the theme, Lovemark secured one top-5 finish last year and has one top-5 finish this year (at the Sony Open in Hawaii in January), so with a poor course history I would also price him at higher odds than this The rest of the players are at three figures odds and warrant much higher odds in each case Pre-rd3 plays: LAY 20pts liability Graham DeLaet 38 26th Paraig Harrington 90 17th Keegan Bradley 250 8th DeLaet has two top-5 finishes on this course and is currently in 8th place, but his ball-striking stats have been poor and with Spieth in pole position I would price him at higher odds than this Harrington is also in 8th place, but his ball-striking stats are even worse - he ranks 106th in strokes gained - approaches - so I don't see him making a strong challenge over the weekend Bradley's ball-striking stats are much better, though it is normally on the greens that he struggles and he is doing this week; in 27th place, he is long way from being a live challenger this week Pre-rd4 plays: Daniel Berger 10.5 2nd Chez Reavie 150 43rd Patrick Reed 190 5th Brian Harman 430 35th
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